Wind-Resistant Capacity Modeling for Electric Transmission Line Towers Using Kriging Surrogates and Its Application to Structural Fragility

Abstract

Wind loading on a transmission tower structure is jointly influenced by the wind field, structural parameters, and the geo-spatial configuration of the transmission line. Considering the multi-parametric effect, this paper aims at developing a limit capacity model for transmission towers under strong winds. To this end, the limit capacity of the tower is expressed via two equivalent means: one is the limit wind speed as a function of the wind angle of attack and the span of transmission line; the other is a limit capacity surface with three fundamental wind load components as the principal axes. An adaptive kriging surrogate modeling is constructed to approximate the function/surface with structural uncertainties considered. The performance of the surrogate model is improved by adding support points and then evaluated by the overall accuracy validation and local error check. A numerical example demonstrating the feasibility of the surrogate modeling for the limit capacity of the transmission tower under winds is presented. Finally, a fragility assessment concerning a practical transmission line and towers subjected to typhoons is accomplished using the established limit capacity model of the tower.

Component Assessment of the Electric Transmission Grid to Hurricanes

“…Much of the existing literature on fragility‐based models of transmission grid response to hurricanes or severe wind events classify transmission structures into two categories in terms of underlying fragility curves: base and robust (Ouyang & Duenas‐Osorio, 2014; Panteli et al., 2015, 2016; Panteli & Mancarella, 2015). There is also a diverse range of fragility curves resulting from dynamic structural modeling (Du & Hajjar, 2022; Ma et al., 2021) and nonlinear static analysis based on Latin hypercube sampling techniques (Cai & Wan, 2021). Although there is no separate fragility curve for guyed mast transmission structures, their divergence in design characteristics suggest differing dynamic wind loading behavior to that of self‐supporting lattice structures (Gani et al., 2010).…”