2021
DOI: 10.3390/su132111666
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Will COVID-19 Threaten the Survival of the Airline Industry?

Abstract: The pandemic causes social distancing and lockdown, which impedes consumer confidence and contracts the economy. Hence, this study analyzes the corona (COVID-19) impact on the airline industry revenues (ALR) and forecast by the vector autoregression (VAR) method. The results indicate that gross domestic product (GDP) and air cargo are the best predictors of ALR. The forecasting outcomes explore if ALR will decline and expect to back to pre-COVID-19 in 2023. Our results resemble both the V-shaped and U-shaped, … Show more

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Cited by 25 publications
(11 citation statements)
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References 38 publications
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“…Xuan et al conducted in-depth analysis and research on data in 15 countries from the International Civil Aviation Organization. To examine and project the Covid-19 influence on the airline industry revenues, they employed the vector autoregression model (VAR) [1]. The countries in this study cover the nations, which are tourism and economic counties.…”
Section: Related Researchmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Xuan et al conducted in-depth analysis and research on data in 15 countries from the International Civil Aviation Organization. To examine and project the Covid-19 influence on the airline industry revenues, they employed the vector autoregression model (VAR) [1]. The countries in this study cover the nations, which are tourism and economic counties.…”
Section: Related Researchmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The pandemic has resulted in social isolation and lockdowns, severely impacting the economy and tourism. The number of scheduled flights and passengers declined by nearly 80% in 2020 compared to 2019 because of rigorous global lockdown, and only two-thirds of the flight can be filled as a result of social isolation, which has squeezed ARL [1]. The current pandemic is predicted to cause a 48% total decline in airline industry revenue.…”
Section: Related Researchmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…They also analyzed the airline revenues due to COVID-19 effect. In the seventh and last study, Xuan et al (2021) forecasted the air transport recovery period. He used the vector autoregression approach to calculate the period of recovery.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The year 2020 was unprecedented within the aviation industry. In 2020, the airline industry-at a global level-experienced a very sharp and sustained decline in air passenger demand, which had a very adverse impact on the world's airlines (Garrow, Lurkin & Marla, 2022;Xuan et al, 2021). Australia's response to the COVID-19 pandemic was rapid with the closure of international borders by the Australian Government (D'Souza & Dunshea, 2021).…”
Section: Development Of the Low-cost Carriers In Australia's Internat...mentioning
confidence: 99%