Why do parties fail? Cleavages, government fatigue and electoral failure in the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary 1992–2012

Bakke, E. Wight; Sitter, Nick

doi:10.1080/21599165.2013.786702

Cited by 20 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 25 publications

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“…Third, explaining the patterns of electoral change after splits is key for understanding the persistence of individual parties. While some scholars demonstrate that splits lead to the electoral decline of parties (Bakke and Sitter, 2013), not all splits have the same effect on party persistence as illustrated by the examples discussed above. However, under what conditions splits are most likely to lead to party disappearance represents an under-researched question in the literature.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The present research supports the former finding but qualifies the latter by showing that at aggregate level economic factors have a strong effect on the support of incumbent parties that split. Also, some scholars demonstrate that splits lead to the substantial electoral losses or even electoral marginalization (Bakke and Sitter 2013; Beyens et al 2016). However, not all splits have the same effect on party electoral support and persistence as illustrated by the examples discussed above.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Electoral competition after party splits

Ibenskas

2019

PSRM

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While party splits are a relatively frequent phenomenon in many new and established democracies, the systematic empirical research on electoral competition after schisms is limited. The analysis of more than 200 splits across 25 European countries in the post-war period addresses this gap in the research. The study shows that the vote shares of rump and splinter parties in the first election after fission are related to their membership strength and the share of splinter legislators. This relationship is present in both Western Europe and Central and Eastern Europe. Additionally, economic growth affects the support of rump parties that hold government office while party system fragmentation and party funding regulations correlate with the electoral performance of splinter parties.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Electoral competition after party splits

Ibenskas

2019

PSRM

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“…In their analysis of electoral failure in several countries of Central and Eastern Europe, Bakke and Sitter (2013: 209) identify five key variables: the nature of the electoral system, the salience of cleavages, participation in government as a junior coalition partner, the management of internal dissent and the nature of party organization.…”

Section: Conceptualizing Fringe Party Success and Failurementioning

confidence: 99%

Marginalization, not mainstreaming: Explaining the failure of fringe parties in Poland

2019

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While the Polish party system has shown signs of consolidation and stabilization in recent years, it is still susceptible to the emergence of new parties that seek to exploit untended ideological niches. However, these fringe parties consistently fail to establish themselves as permanent inhabitants of these niches or to consolidate their initial electoral gains by transforming themselves into mainstream parties. In this article, we use data from the Polish National Election Study to analyse voting patterns over the period 2001–2015 in an attempt to explain fringe party failure. We conclude that fringe parties in Poland fail for two reasons: they are electorally ‘squeezed’ by mainstream parties that are capable of attracting the natural constituencies of fringe parties, while those natural constituencies also have a greater propensity to abstain from participating in elections.

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“…Rohrschneider and Whitefield remain circumspect about the potential threat confronting party systems faced with the prospect of rising levels of ‘representational strain’. However, recent scholarship on Central and Eastern Europe, the region where such issues seem most sharply posed, suggests that the unnamed spectre is that of major party system instability, and perhaps even the breakdown, failure or collapse of party-based representation (Bakke and Sitter 2013; Hanley and Sikk 2014; Haughton and Deegan-Krause 2014).…”

Section: Lessons From Latin Americamentioning

confidence: 99%

All Fall Down? The Prospects for Established Parties in Europe and Beyond

Hanley¹

2015

Gov. & oppos.

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Why do parties fail? Cleavages, government fatigue and electoral failure in the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary 1992–2012

Cited by 20 publications

References 25 publications

Electoral competition after party splits

Electoral competition after party splits

Marginalization, not mainstreaming: Explaining the failure of fringe parties in Poland

All Fall Down? The Prospects for Established Parties in Europe and Beyond

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