Where are they? Where will they be? In pursuit of current and future whereabouts of endangered Himalayan musk deer

Khadka, Kapil K.; Kannan, Ragupathy; Ilyas, Orus; Abbas, Fakhar-i; James, Douglas A.

doi:10.1016/j.mambio.2017.02.007

Cited by 11 publications

(17 citation statements)

References 34 publications

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“…Contrary to our finding, Khadka et al, 2017 found temperature play a greater role in distribution of musk deer. Therefore, Khadka et al 58 predicted (i) that vast stretches of currently suitable habitat of Himalayan musk deer exist at very high elevation including above tree line and snowline although we know that the species needs a forest to survive, and (2) that this suitable habitat expands dramatically in future to higher elevation areas without any contraction. The unrealistic future projection of musk deer by Khadka et al, 2017 has another layer of complexity: plants do not respond to newly available suitable climate above treeline and snowline because soil may not have formed in enough quantity to support the plant growth in such large area 59,60 .…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Projected distribution and climate refugia of endangered Kashmir musk deer Moschus cupreus in greater Himalaya, South Asia

Singh

Mainali

Jiang

et al. 2020

Sci Rep

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Kashmir musk deer Moschus cupreus (KMD) are the least studied species of musk deer. We compiled genetically validated occurrence records of KMD to construct species distribution models using Maximum entropy. We show that the distribution of KMD is limited between central nepal on the east and northeast Afghanistan on the west and is primarily determined by precipitation of driest quarter, annual mean temperature, water vapor, and precipitation during the coldest quarter. precipitation being the most influential determinant of distribution suggests the importance of pre-monsoon moisture for growth of the dominant vegetation, Himalayan birch Betula utilis and Himalayan fir Abies spectabilis, in KMD's preferred forests. All four Representative concentration pathway Scenarios result an expansion of suitable habitat in Uttarakhand, india, west nepal and their associated areas in china in 2050s and 2070s but a dramatic loss of suitable habitat elsewhere (Kashmir region and Pakistan-Afghanistan border). About 1/4 th of the current habitat will remain as climate refugia in future. Since the existing network of protected areas will only include a tiny fraction (4%) of the climatic refugia of KMD, the fate of the species will be determined by the interplay of more urgent short-term forces of poaching and habitat degradation and long-term forces of climate change.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Projected distribution and climate refugia of endangered Kashmir musk deer Moschus cupreus in greater Himalaya, South Asia

Singh

Mainali

Jiang

et al. 2020

Sci Rep

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…To build the model, the authors referred to the protocols suggested by various studies (Bradie & Leung,2017;Halvorsen 2013;Kaky et al,2020;Zhang et al, 2019), and selected several basic environmental factors, including terrain, vegetation, human disturbance variables, and climate data (Table 1), which are widely available for many locations around the world. MaxENT was adopted to develop the models (Elith et al, 2011;Phillips & Dudík, 2008), as it is a widely applied method to predict species distributions and proven to be reliable for numerous taxa (Kumar & Stohlgren, 2009;Onojeghuo et al, 2015;Khadka et al, 2017;Thapa et al, 2018). Before running MaxENT, all relevant accessible factors in the dataset were given full consideration and transformed into raster format (90m × 90m), using UTM coordination system.…”

Section: Data Sourcementioning

confidence: 99%

The need for IUCN species distribution update - the case from a large threaten ungulate in Southwest China

Guan

Owens

Yang

et al. 2022

Preprint

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Species distributions are one of the fundamental factors needed for understanding and conserving wildlife. While the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species is the primary applied reference for biodiversity conservation, limitations in data availability and analyses of the distributions of some species may limit accurate threat classification assessments and conservation recommendations. Improving the accuracy of species distributions in light of growing data and analytical methods is a key step to increasing the efficacy of the Red List. In this study, we reassessed the distribution of takin (Budorcas taxicolor tibetana), a large ungulate in Sichuan Province, southwest China , classified by the IUCN as vulnerable. Using species distribution models and reported habitat requirements, we updated the takin distribution map. Our updated distribution range in the study area (79,449km2) was 61.31% of current distribution range (CDR) on the IUCN red list. This reduction was in large part due to the inclusion in the CDR of substantial areas of lowland plains, high human disturbance, and non-forest habitat, which provide no suitable habitat for takin. According to our results, suitable takin habitat covered 18.97% of the CDR, suggesting a substantially over-estimated distribution. However, there are high proportions of habitat (40%) still covered by the nature reserve network, indicating the importance of protected areas (PAs) in conservation threaten species. We recommend that experts apply the basic approach presented herein to update the Red List distributions for more species to increase the accuracy of assessments and resulting conservation applications.

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“…To build the model, the authors referred to the protocols suggested by various studies (Bradie & Leung, 2017; Halvorsen, 2013; Kaky et al, 2020; Zhang et al, 2019), and selected several basic environmental factors, including terrain, vegetation, human disturbance variables, and climate data (Table 1), most of which are widely available for many locations around the world. MaxENT was adopted to develop the models (Elith et al, 2011; Phillips & Dudík, 2008), as it is a widely applied method to predict species distributions and proven to be reliable for numerous taxa (Khadka et al, 2017; Kumar & Stohlgren, 2009; Onojeghuo et al, 2015; Thapa et al, 2018). Before running MaxENT, all relevant accessible factors in the dataset were given full consideration and transformed into raster format (90 × 90 m), using UTM coordination system.…”

Section: Data Source and Analysesmentioning

confidence: 99%

The need for IUCN species distribution update—The case from takin (Budorcas taxicolor) in Southwest China

Guan

Owens

Yang

et al. 2022

Ecology and Evolution

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Species distributions are one of the fundamental factors needed for understanding and conserving wildlife. While the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species is the primary applied reference for biodiversity conservation, limitations in data availability and analyses of the distributions of some species may limit accurate threat classification assessments and conservation recommendations. Improving the accuracy of species distributions in light of growing data and analytical methods is a key step to increasing the efficacy of the Red List. In this study, we reassessed the distribution of takin (Budorcas taxicolor tibetana), a large ungulate in Sichuan Province, southwest China, classified by the IUCN as vulnerable. Using species distribution models and reported habitat requirements, we updated the takin distribution map. Our updated distribution range in the study area (79,449 km2) was 61.31% of the current distribution range (CDR) on the IUCN Red List. This reduction was in large part due to the inclusion in the CDR of substantial areas of lowland plains, high human disturbance, and non‐forest habitat, which provide no suitable habitat for takin. According to our results, suitable takin habitat covered 18.97% of the CDR, suggesting a substantially overestimated distribution. However, there are high proportions of habitat (40%) still covered by the nature reserve network, indicating the importance of protected areas (PAs) in the conservation threaten species. We recommend that experts apply the basic approach presented herein to update the Red List distributions for more species to increase the accuracy of assessments and resulting conservation applications.

show abstract

Where are they? Where will they be? In pursuit of current and future whereabouts of endangered Himalayan musk deer

Cited by 11 publications

References 34 publications

Projected distribution and climate refugia of endangered Kashmir musk deer Moschus cupreus in greater Himalaya, South Asia

Projected distribution and climate refugia of endangered Kashmir musk deer Moschus cupreus in greater Himalaya, South Asia

The need for IUCN species distribution update - the case from a large threaten ungulate in Southwest China

The need for IUCN species distribution update—The case from takin (Budorcas taxicolor) in Southwest China

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