Data can become information if we know the processes involved. Information can become knowledge if we see the system that is operating. But knowledge only becomes wisdom when we can see how any system must change, and can deal with that reality.(Peter Allen, Coherence, Chaos and Evolution in the Social Context, Futures, 1994, Vol. 26, p. 597)
Process and Art of Model BuildingBiologists, from those who study the mechanisms of the nerve cell to those who study ecosystems are in one way or another inescapably involved in dynamic modeling. This book is dedicated to those people, with an understanding of at least some of the problems they face.The book is about the process and art of modeling. We define the process of model building as an unending one-one with rewards typically proportional to the effort extended. The art of modeling is implied throughout this book, first by virtue of our continuing reference to style of the modeling approach and second by the plethora of modeling examples from nearly every field in biology, and finally by regular reference to the use of analogy.Modeling style is important. Throughout our life we have learned to develop models in our mind of the processes that we face every day. We do solve an amazing class of dynamic problems, such as hitting baseballs and driving cars, by acquiring through trial and error the skills that are necessary to put the various components of a dynamic system together in our mind, draw the necessary conclusions and react accordingly. However, the more complex the system, the less are we A save-disabled version of STELLA and the computer models of this book are available at www.iseesystems.com/modelingdynamicbiologicalsystems.