2009
DOI: 10.3386/w15258
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What - or Who - Started the Great Depression?

Abstract: Herbert Hoover. I develop a theory of labor market failure for the Depression based on Hoover's industrial labor program that provided industry with protection from unions in return for keeping nominal wages fixed. I find that the theory accounts for much of the depth of the Depression and for the asymmetry of the depression across sectors. The theory also can reconcile why deflation/low nominal spending apparently had such large real effects during the 1930s, but not during other periods of significant deflat… Show more

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Cited by 33 publications
(35 citation statements)
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“…Such a perspective is also in accordance with Peter Temin's account(Temin 1990), which, on a different basis, stresses that Nazi Germany witnessed a faster recovery with lower unemployment rates than the United States because of the tougher approach towards the labour market.4 The view that the Great Depression was a State failure is upheld byOhanian (2009). Ohanian argues that Herbert Hoover's industrial programme contributed significantly to the onset of the Great Depression in the United States.…”
mentioning
confidence: 70%
“…Such a perspective is also in accordance with Peter Temin's account(Temin 1990), which, on a different basis, stresses that Nazi Germany witnessed a faster recovery with lower unemployment rates than the United States because of the tougher approach towards the labour market.4 The view that the Great Depression was a State failure is upheld byOhanian (2009). Ohanian argues that Herbert Hoover's industrial programme contributed significantly to the onset of the Great Depression in the United States.…”
mentioning
confidence: 70%
“…However, labor's relative power was falling. Popular support for labor weakened and union membership declined from 17.4% in 1921 to 10.5% by 1929 (Ohanian, 2009(Ohanian, , p. 2320, and annual average productivity gains of 5.44% between 1919 and 1929 greatly outpaced wages (Smiley, 2010, p. 9). The distributional consequences conformed to Long's (1960, p. 112) claim that 'So large is labor's share of national income that any substantial disparity between productivity and real wages would exert great impact on the other shares-either largely expropriating them or presenting them with huge windfalls.…”
Section: Busted Labor and Rising Inequalitymentioning
confidence: 96%
“…This idea, for example, is written into the Preamble of the USA's National Labour Relations Act (NLRA, 1935) as a justification for encouragement of collective bargaining and, also, was widely cited as a justification for the minimum wage and maximum hour provisions of the Fair Labour Standards Act (FLSA, 1938) (Kaufman, 2012a(Kaufman, , 2012b. Of course, conventional economists criticize these ideas as wrong-headed and counter-productive (e.g., Neumark and Wascher, 2008;Ohanian, 2009) and employers unite in both factory and legislature to oppose them.…”
Section: Asymmetry Of Power In the Firmmentioning
confidence: 99%