Water Planning Under Climatic Uncertainty in Phoenix: Why We Need a New Paradigm

Gober, Patricia; Kirkwood, Craig W.; Balling, Robert C.; Ellis, Andrew W.; Deitrick, Stephanie

doi:10.1080/00045601003595420

Cited by 99 publications

(62 citation statements)

References 22 publications

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“…Extensively examined, the UHI draws increasing attention owing to its effects on energy and water consumption, human health, environmental (ecosystem) services, especially in the context of global warming (e.g. Gober, Kirkwood, Balling, Ellis, & Deitrick, 2009;Harlan, Brazel, Prashad, Stefanov, & Larsen, 2006;Harlan, Declet-Barreto, Stefanov, & Petitti, 2013;Hondula, Vanos, & Gosling, 2013;Hondula et al, 2012). For these and other reasons, attention to the means to mitigate the UHI effect have garnered considerable attention, especially through model simulations (e.g.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Remote sensing of the surface urban heat island and land architecture in Phoenix, Arizona: Combined effects of land composition and configuration and cadastral–demographic–economic factors

Middel

et al. 2016

Remote Sensing of Environment

199

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This study seeks to determine the role of land architecture-the composition and configuration of land cover-as well as cadastral-demographic-economic factors on land surface temperature (LST) and the surface urban heat island effect of Phoenix, Arizona. It employs 1 m National Agricultural Imagery Program data of land-cover with 120 m Landsat-derived land surface temperature, decomposed to 30 m, a new measure of configuration, the normalized moment of inertia, and U.S. Census data to address the question for two randomly selected samples comprising 523 and 545 residential neighborhoods (census blocks) in the city. The results indicate that, contrary to most other studies, land configuration has a stronger influence on LST than land composition. In addition, both land configuration and architecture combined with cadastral, demographic, and economic variables, capture a significant amount of explained variance in LST. The results indicate that attention to land architecture in the development of or reshaping of neighborhoods may ameliorate the summer extremes in LST.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Remote sensing of the surface urban heat island and land architecture in Phoenix, Arizona: Combined effects of land composition and configuration and cadastral–demographic–economic factors

Middel

et al. 2016

Remote Sensing of Environment

199

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“…Currently, Phoenix's water supply relies on a highly dynamic and complex hydrological management system that incorporates four major water sources: surface water from the Salt and Verde Rivers, ground water, Colorado River water through the Central Arizona Project, and reclaimed water, for nonpotable uses only (Gober et al 2010). The availability of each of these supply sources is governed by unique hydrologic, legal, and institutional systems and therefore is not very transparent to local residents.…”

Section: Study Settingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Urban Ethnohydrology: Cultural Knowledge of Water Quality and Water Management in a Desert City

Gartin¹,

Crona²,

Wutich³

et al. 2010

E&S

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“…For all models, the range of runoff scenarios spanned 50%-127% of historic flows, with an average reduction of 77% (Figure 2). With the scenarios updated by the 4th IPCC assessment, the band of uncertainty widened to 19%-123% of historical flows [52]. Figure 2.…”

Section: Inevitable Uncertainties In Decision-makingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Decision-Making under Uncertainty for Water Sustainability and Urban Climate Change Adaptation

et al. 2015

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Complexities and uncertainties surrounding urbanization and climate change complicate water resource sustainability. Although research has examined various aspects of complex water systems, including uncertainties, relatively few attempts have been made to synthesize research findings in particular contexts. We fill this gap by examining the complexities, uncertainties, and decision processes for water sustainability and urban adaptation to climate change in the case study region of Phoenix, Arizona. In doing so, we integrate over a decade of research conducted by Arizona State University's Decision Center for a Desert City (DCDC). DCDC is a boundary organization that conducts research in collaboration with policy makers, with the goal of informing decision-making under uncertainty. Our results highlight: the counterintuitive, non-linear, and competing relationships in human-environment dynamics; the myriad uncertainties in climatic, scientific, political, and other domains of knowledge and practice; and, the social learning that has occurred across science and policy spheres. Finally, we reflect on how our interdisciplinary research and boundary organization has evolved over time to enhance adaptive and sustainable governance in the face of complex system dynamics. OPEN ACCESSSustainability 2015, 7 14762

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Water Planning Under Climatic Uncertainty in Phoenix: Why We Need a New Paradigm

Cited by 99 publications

References 22 publications

Remote sensing of the surface urban heat island and land architecture in Phoenix, Arizona: Combined effects of land composition and configuration and cadastral–demographic–economic factors

Remote sensing of the surface urban heat island and land architecture in Phoenix, Arizona: Combined effects of land composition and configuration and cadastral–demographic–economic factors

Urban Ethnohydrology: Cultural Knowledge of Water Quality and Water Management in a Desert City

Decision-Making under Uncertainty for Water Sustainability and Urban Climate Change Adaptation

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