Decision-Making under Uncertainty for Water Sustainability and Urban Climate Change Adaptation

Larson, Kelli L.; White, Dave D.; Gober, Patricia; Wutich, Amber

doi:10.3390/su71114761

Cited by 51 publications

(29 citation statements)

References 83 publications

(114 reference statements)

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“…It is crucial to identify the necessary adaptive actions to be taken in order to avoid the unwanted consequences of climate change [55], and decision-support tools are needed to assist decision-making under uncertainty [56]. The crop pattern may have to switch to drought-resistant plant production.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Farmers’ Risk Perception towards Climate Change: A Case of the GAP-Şanlıurfa Region, Turkey

Aydoğdu

Yenigün

2016

Sustainability

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Abstract:The purpose of this research is to evaluate farmers' risk perception towards climate change in dry farming areas of theŞanlıurfa province in Southeastern Anatolia Project (GAP) Region, Turkey, and their willingness to pay for adaptation practices and explore the potential factors that contribute to the understanding of climate change. The main material of this research comes from a sample of 466 farmers among 32,809 inŞanlıurfa who were chosen via a simple random sampling method. Sampling was conducted in 2014 and participants were interviewed face to face by questionnaires and local interviewers were used in order to maximize the reliability of the results. The logistic regression and fit tests were used for analysis. The results indicate that 53% of farmers have a risk perception about climate change and 62% of farmers accept paying for adaptation practices to reduce its potential effects. Explanatory affecting factors, such as age, agricultural income, amount of land owned, farming experience, agricultural credit usage, household numbers, non-agricultural manpower, education level and water perception, significantly explained the risk perceptions. This study is one of the first of its type in GAP-Şanlıurfa, Turkey. Therefore, the results could be helpful for decision-and policy-makers to develop adaptive strategies.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Farmers’ Risk Perception towards Climate Change: A Case of the GAP-Şanlıurfa Region, Turkey

Aydoğdu

Yenigün

2016

Sustainability

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“…Water governance, especially in the era of the Anthropocene, requires decision‐making under conditions of deep uncertainty about future environmental conditions, possible sociopolitical scenarios, and the evolving needs and perspectives of proximate stakeholders . To deal with this complexity and uncertainty requires more than simply delivering scientific knowledge to the doors of decision‐makers and hoping that such knowledge is relevant and useful .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Co‐Producing Interdisciplinary Knowledge and Action for Sustainable Water Governance: Lessons from the Development of a Water Resources Decision Support System in Pernambuco, Brazil

et al. 2018

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One of the most pressing global challenges for sustainable development is freshwater management. Sustainable water governance requires interdisciplinary knowledge about environmental and social processes as well as participatory strategies that bring scientists, managers, policymakers, and other stakeholders together to cooperatively produce knowledge and solutions, promote social learning, and build enduring institutional capacity. Cooperative production of knowledge and action is designed to enhance the likelihood that the findings, models, simulations, and decision support tools developed are scientifically credible, solutions‐oriented, and relevant to management needs and stakeholders' perspectives. To explore how interdisciplinary science and sustainable water management can be co‐developed in practice, the experiences of an international collaboration are drawn on to improve local capacity to manage existing and future water resources efficiently, sustainably, and equitably in the State of Pernambuco in northeastern Brazil. Systems are developed to model and simulate rainfall, reservoir management, and flood forecasting that allow users to create, save, and compare future scenarios. A web‐enabled decision support system is also designed to integrate models to inform water management and climate adaptation. The challenges and lessons learned from this project, the transferability of this approach, and strategies for evaluating the impacts on management decisions and sustainability outcomes are discussed.

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“…Significant changes in watershed flow and an increasing frequency in water scarcity events have amplified disagreements on the design and implementation of watershed management strategies and practices (Larson, White, Gober, & Wutich, ). This is exemplified through a specific dispute between agriculture and natural resource conservation stakeholders regarding a proposed lagoon restoration project.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Regaining tractability through reframing of a watershed management conflict: A case of southwestern Puerto Rico

Santiago

Hong

2019

River Research & Apps

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The Río Loco watershed in southwestern Puerto Rico is a site where significant coastal development has taken place and water is currently used for residential purposes, power generation and agricultural production. Competing uses and resulting tradeoffs have led to conflict among the watershed's stakeholders, and a proposed natural resource conservation measure in the area has exacerbated conflict to the point where it can be described as intractable. We propose a two‐phase conflict resolution scheme: the first phase requires gaining tractability by reframing the problem considering mainly diagnostic parameters, and the second phase outlines a series of processes that may help manage conflict once the problem becomes tractable. We conducted two focus groups with key stakeholders in the Río Loco watershed, including farmers and conservationists representing NGO's, public and private organizations to assess current frames. Through the reframed interests, we conclude innovative institutions or flexible organizations will be able to provide a new arena where conversations take place, thus, creating a space for a more inclusive and democratic process to manage the watershed in the short and long term, and at the same time increasing chances of maintaining problems within the realm of tractability.

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Decision-Making under Uncertainty for Water Sustainability and Urban Climate Change Adaptation

Cited by 51 publications

References 83 publications

Farmers’ Risk Perception towards Climate Change: A Case of the GAP-Şanlıurfa Region, Turkey

Farmers’ Risk Perception towards Climate Change: A Case of the GAP-Şanlıurfa Region, Turkey

Co‐Producing Interdisciplinary Knowledge and Action for Sustainable Water Governance: Lessons from the Development of a Water Resources Decision Support System in Pernambuco, Brazil

Regaining tractability through reframing of a watershed management conflict: A case of southwestern Puerto Rico

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