Water Allocation in Transboundary River Basins under Water Scarcity: a Cooperative Bargaining Approach

Degefu, Dagmawi Mulugeta; He, Weijun; Yuan, Liang; Jian, Zhao

doi:10.1007/s11269-016-1431-6

Cited by 87 publications

(55 citation statements)

References 38 publications

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“…Moreover, participants usually acquire strategies through transmission mechanism rather than a rational choice [51]. (2) Fitness function. Fitness is the core concept of evolutionary theory, which is used to describe the reproductive capacity of genes.…”

Section: Theory Backgroundmentioning

confidence: 99%

Multilevel Governments’ Decision-Making Process and Its Influencing Factors in Watershed Ecological Compensation

Gao

Shen

et al. 2019

Sustainability

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Transboundary water pollution is a long-standing problem in China, although the Chinese government has been committed to the protection of water resources. Due to the different interests of multilevel governments and the regionalization of management, there is still no unified plan to solve the transboundary water pollution in China. Watershed ecological compensation as a holistic plan to deal with transboundary water pollution is being promoted currently. Taking the South-to-North Water Transfer Project' eastern route as an example, this paper firstly analyses stakeholders' strategies and establishes a tripartite game model based on evolutionary game theory. Secondly, by introducing Cobb Douglas production function creatively, the supervision level of the central government is refined into supervisory attitude and supervisory skills. Thirdly, the numerical simulation is used to analyze the sensitivity of influencing factors. The results show that: (1) whether the central government supervises the local governments mainly depends on the benefits of water environment improvement and supervision costs; (2) the initial negotiation plan of the stakeholders has a significant impact on their optimum strategies; (3) the fines imposed by the central government on the local governments have a small impact on the stable state of the system; (4) the higher the eco-compensation fee, the lower their likelihood of cooperation; (5) the central government's supervisory attitude and supervisory skills have significant effect on the sustainability of the optimum arrangement, even when willingness of upstream and downstream governments to cooperate is low; (6) the initial ecological benefits of downstream governments have no effect on the optimum strategy. Therefore, considering these insights is helpful to improve the watershed ecological compensation mechanism in order to solve transboundary water pollution and achieve the sustainability of water resources.

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Section: Theory Backgroundmentioning

confidence: 99%

Multilevel Governments’ Decision-Making Process and Its Influencing Factors in Watershed Ecological Compensation

Gao

Shen

et al. 2019

Sustainability

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“…Transboundary waterbodies cover almost half of the earth's land surface, and are home to about 1/3 of the world's population (UN Water 2013). Increase in water demand is among the main factors that are responsible for water scarcity in most of the transboundary river basins (Degefu et al 2016). Uncontrolled land and water development in upstream regions can escalate risk of water variability in the downstream region (Al-Faraj and Scholz 2015, Drieschova et al 2008, Veldkamp et al 2017).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

How downstream sub-basins depend on upstream inflows to avoid scarcity: typology and global analysis of transboundary rivers

Munia¹,

Guillaume²,

Mirumachi³

et al. 2017

Preprint

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Countries sharing river basins are often dependent upon water originating outside their boundaries; meaning that without that upstream water, water scarcity may occur, with flow-on implications for water use and management. We develop a formalisation of this concept using water stress and shortage as indicators of water scarcity, and including both persistent 15 and occasional scarcity. Dependency occurs if water from upstream is needed to avoid either persistent or occasional water scarcity. This can be diagnosed by comparing different types of water availability on which a sub-basin relies, starting with reliable local runoff (available even in a dry year), followed by less reliable local water (available in the wet year), reliable dry year inflows from possible upstream area, and finally less reliable wet year inflows from upstream. At the same time, possible upstream water withdrawals reduce available water downstream, influencing the latter two water availabilities. In this paper, 20we further present a typology describing how scarcity and dependency evolve in transboundary river basins, and use this typology for a global analysis of transboundary river basins at the scale of sub-basin areas (SBAs). Four groups of SBAs are identified that experience scarcity and dependency differently depending on their i) location in the basin, and ii) hydro-climate characteristics, specifically the level of reliable support provided by natural upstream inflows. Each group has its own set of transitions in scarcity and dependency category, driven by changes in local water demand and/or upstream withdrawals. Our 25 results show that almost 932 million people (33% of the total transboundary population) live in SBAs that are dependent on upstream water to avoid stress because of their own water use, while 464 million people (17% of the total transboundary population) live in SBAs dependent on upstream water to avoid possible shortage. The identification of groups and their transitions enables discussion of the pathways SBAs might take in future, potentially contributing to further refined analysis of inter and intrabasin hydro-political power relations and strategic planning of management practices in transboundary basins. 30

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“…It also improves the understanding of concepts and system interactions by offering a comprehensive and integrated view of the physical, social, economic, environmental and political systems, stimulates the issue of water resource system for better understanding of the system and allows managers and stakeholders to better visualize the key hydrologic elements and management constraints within river basins. The level of water dispute among basin sharing parties depends on their socio-economic and environmental conditions [14]. The situation in the Zhanghe River basin is not different.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Simulating Water Resource Disputes of Transboundary River: A Case Study of the Zhanghe River Basin, China

Yuan

Liao

et al. 2018

IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci.

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Water Allocation in Transboundary River Basins under Water Scarcity: a Cooperative Bargaining Approach

Cited by 87 publications

References 38 publications

Multilevel Governments’ Decision-Making Process and Its Influencing Factors in Watershed Ecological Compensation

Multilevel Governments’ Decision-Making Process and Its Influencing Factors in Watershed Ecological Compensation

How downstream sub-basins depend on upstream inflows to avoid scarcity: typology and global analysis of transboundary rivers

Simulating Water Resource Disputes of Transboundary River: A Case Study of the Zhanghe River Basin, China

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