Unraveling effects of coal output cut policy on air pollution abatement in China using a CGE model

Xiao, Kun; Li, Fēi; Dong, Chaohua; Cai, Ying; Li, Yanan; Ye, Penghao; Zhang, Jingdong

doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.122369

Cited by 26 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 25 publications

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“…Referring to previous studies [50,51], EV measures variation in social welfare in our research, defined as follows:…”

Section: Cge Model Structurementioning

confidence: 99%

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Recycling Carbon Tax under Different Energy Efficiency Improvements: A CGE Analysis of China

Liu

et al. 2021

Sustainability

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Carbon emission reductions and sustainable development have become hot issues in international conferences. As the most direct instrument for carbon emission reductions, the carbon tax has not been favored by policymakers because of its negative effect on the economy. To achieve low-carbon sustainable development, we use a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to simulate carbon tax recycling under different energy transfer efficiency improvements to achieve triple dividends of carbon emission reductions and social welfare improvement. This paper contributes to the literature on recycling carbon tax for triple dividends in China. The simulation has three main findings: (i) the carbon tax revenue recycling toward reducing the resident income tax rate yields triple dividends without any energy transfer efficiency improvement; (ii) the losses of GDP and social welfare are exaggerated. Meanwhile, the carbon tax brings down carbon emissions and total carbon intensity of GDP with a mild impact on the Chinese economy; (iii) the improvement of energy transfer efficiency demonstrates the advantages of recycling carbon tax and is essential for achieving triple dividends. Thus, we propose the following policy recommendations: (i) the pilot carbon tax mechanism should be launched in high-carbon sectors (such as coal) and then implemented in other industries gradually; (ii) the government should strongly support the technological improvement of energy transfer efficiency in order to achieve sustainable development.

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“…Referring to previous studies [50,51], EV measures variation in social welfare in our research, defined as follows:…”

Section: Cge Model Structurementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Under the price keeps the initial price unchanged, EV measures how much the variation in income is equivalent to the variation in the effect brought about by the price change. Referring to previous studies [50,51], EV measures variation in social welfare in our research, defined as follows:…”

Section: Cge Model Structurementioning

confidence: 99%

Recycling Carbon Tax under Different Energy Efficiency Improvements: A CGE Analysis of China

Liu

et al. 2021

Sustainability

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“…Lin and Jia (2020), Shou et al (2020) and Yang & Teng (2018) concluded that coal control measures would contribute to pollution reduction and carbon mitigation. While employing the developed CGE model, Xiao et al (2020) found that coalcutting policies will promote the environment but reduce residents' consumption welfare, GDP growth, and employment. Zhang et al (2021) also employed a scenario analysis model that predicts that the CCCP will inevitably reduce social welfare in the short run.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Revealing effectiveness and heterogeneity of the impact of China’s coal consumption control policy on air quality

Zhao

Chang²,

Huangfu³

et al. 2022

Front. Environ. Sci.

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Whether China’s coal consumption control policy (CCCP) improves air quality is controversial. This study used city-level panel data and applied a DID model to identify it. We found that 1) The CCCP has a positive effect on AQI and PM25, which decrease by 7.6327 µg/m3 and 8.4293 µg/m3, respectively, but fails to reduce O3 concentration. 2) The effect of CCCP has regional heterogeneity. The CCCP has not significantly reduced PM2.5 emissions or improved air quality in the PRD region as in the BTHS and YRD regions. Additionally, in the YRD and PRD regions, CCCP can reduce O3 significantly. But the BTHS region failed to reduce the O3, and the introduction of CCCP made the O3 in pilot cities even higher by 4.1539 µg/m3. This study recognized the effects of the CCCP and its regional heterogeneity, which were supportive for policymakers to optimize coal-related policies to ensure environmental sustainability. We suggested that policymakers should differentiate policies according to regional differences and pay attention to reducing O3 pollution to establish sustainable ecosystems.

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“…Certain studies have explored how the current coal regulation policy has improved the air environment since the release of the APPCAP in China [29,30]. Other studies use game models, a system simulation approach, and other methods to estimate the emission reduction effect of future coal regulation on GHGs and air pollutants based on the simulation of future coal control policies [31][32][33]. In addition, a few studies have explored the effects of coal regulation policies from the perspective of the health risks to residents [34].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Environmental and Health Co-Benefits of Coal Regulation under the Carbon Neutral Target: A Case Study in Anhui Province, China

et al. 2021

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Coal regulation has been implemented throughout China. However, the potential benefits of pollution abatement and the co-benefits of residents’ health were rarely assessed. In this study, based on the analysis of historical coal consumption and multiple coal regulation measures in Anhui Province, China, four scenarios (Business as Usual (BU), Structure Optimization (SO), Gross Consumption Control (GC), and Comprehensive Measures (CM)) were constructed to indicate four different paths from 2020 to 2060, which is a vital period for realizing carbon neutrality. The results show that reductions of SO2, PM10, and PM2.5 emissions in the SO scenario are higher than those in the GC scenario, while the reduction of NOx emission is higher in the GC scenario. Compared with the BU scenario, residents’ health benefits from 2020 to 2060 are 8.3, 4.8, and 4.5 billion USD in the CM, GC, and SO scenarios, respectively, indicating that the achievements of coal regulation are significant for health promotion. Therefore, the optimization and implementation of coal regulation in the future is not only essential for the carbon neutrality target, but also a significant method to yield environmental and health co-benefits.

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Unraveling effects of coal output cut policy on air pollution abatement in China using a CGE model

Cited by 26 publications

References 25 publications

Recycling Carbon Tax under Different Energy Efficiency Improvements: A CGE Analysis of China

Recycling Carbon Tax under Different Energy Efficiency Improvements: A CGE Analysis of China

Revealing effectiveness and heterogeneity of the impact of China’s coal consumption control policy on air quality

Environmental and Health Co-Benefits of Coal Regulation under the Carbon Neutral Target: A Case Study in Anhui Province, China

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