Understanding trends in Australian alcohol consumption—an age–period–cohort model

Abstract

Recent birth cohorts (born between 1995 and 1999) in Australia report significantly lower rates of both drinking participation and drinking volume than previous cohorts, controlling for their age distribution and overall changes in population drinking. These findings suggest that the recent decline in alcohol consumption in Australia has been driven by declines in drinking among these recently born cohorts. These trends are consistent with international shifts in youth drinking.

Association between Australian adolescent alcohol use and alcohol use risk and protective factors in 2011 and 2014

“…This study explored the association between three measures of adolescent alcohol use and known risk and protective factors of alcohol use in two separate cross-sectional samples of Australian adolescents 3 years apart. Consistent with international and Australian trends [5,6,28], the proportion of students reporting alcohol use was lower in 2014 than in 2011. Across all three alcohol use outcomes, and at both time points, risk factors were consistently the stronger predictors of alcohol use and generally ranked higher with respect to odds ratios compared to protective factors.…”

Adolescents drink less: How, who and why? A review of the recent research literature

“…Indeed, the overall decline in alcohol use among Icelandic teenagers from 1995 to 2003 was driven solely by an expansion of the group of abstainers and infrequent drinkers [12]. In many other countries, the proportion of youth who drink as well as the alcohol consumption among the drinkers have both declined [29,30,52,68,69]. Adolescents drink less-a literature review S105 Table 2.…”

The decline in youth drinking in England—is everyone drinking less? A quantile regression analysis

“…Youth alcohol consumption has fallen sharply in most high‐income countries throughout Europe , North America and Australasia . The analyses in this paper focus on England, where the proportion of 8–12‐year‐olds who have ever had an alcoholic drink fell from 25% in 2002 to 4% in 2016, while a separate survey shows a concurrent fall among 11–15‐year‐olds from 61% in 2003 to 38% in 2014 .…”