M easured signals on two t ropospheri c scatter links have bee n analyzed in t he liO"ht of radio refractivity profiles prepa red from radiosonde data. On the shorter link (San DiegoSanta Ana, 85 miles) t he basic transmission loss was found to be approximately a li nea r fun ct ion of f1N, t he change in radio refractivity from the gro und to a height of 1 ki lom e ter. On the longer (Cape Canaveral-New Providence I sla nd , B aha mas, 300 miles) t he relationship between transmission loss a nd f1N was nonlinear , and better res ults were obtained by averaging the refractivity gradi ent over 5, 000 fee t . Correlation coeffi cients on t he San DiegoSanta Ana link range from 0.39 in August to 0.84 in February. On the Cape Canaveral-N ew Providence link the co rrelation factor is 0.92. The results s how the fea sibility of forecasting signal-to-noise ratios o n over-water t ropospheri c scatter co mmuni cations syst ems on a daily or hourly basis.