Trends in precipitation indices in Croatia, 1961–2010

Gajić‐Čapka, Marjana; Kalin, Ksenija Cindrić; Pasarić, Zoran

doi:10.1007/s00704-014-1217-9

Cited by 56 publications

(64 citation statements)

References 32 publications

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“…These global scale studies' findings were confirmed by numerous regional and local studies all over the world-in Asia (Sheikh et al, 2015), Africa (Ongoma, Chen, & Omony, 2018), America (Brown, Bradley, & Keimig, *Corresponding author, e-mail: tatjana.popov@pmf.unibl.org 2010; Skansi et al, 2013). Similar results were also obtained for Europe-at the continental level (Klein Tank & Können, 2003) and in its various regions-over the Iberian Peninsula (Bartolomeu, Carvalho, Marta-Almeida, Melo-Gonçalves, & Rocha, 2016), Apennine Peninsula (Boccolari & Malmusi, 2013), Balkan Peninsula (Burić, Luković, Bajat, Kilibarda, & Živković, 2015;Gajić-Čapka, Cindrić, & Pasarić, 2015;Kioutsioukis, Melas, & Zerefos, 2010;Malinović-Milićević, Mihailović, Radovanović, & Drešković, 2018;Unkašević & Tošić, 2011), Carpathian Basin (Bartholy & Pongrácz, 2007;Croitoru, Piticar, & Burada, 2016), Northern Europe (Lupikasza, Hansel, & Matschullat, 2011), etc. Although most of continentally averaged extreme precipitation indices (e.g., RX5day, R10mm, R20mm, R95p, and R95pTOT) have increased significantly since the mid-20th century, the observed trends were not spatially coherent (Klein Tank & Können, 2003).…”

Section: Introductionsupporting

confidence: 66%

Analysis of extreme precipitation indices in the east Herzegovina (Bosnia and Herzegovina)

Popov¹,

Gnjato²,

Trbić³

et al. 2019

J geographical I JC

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The changes in annual and seasonal extreme precipitation indices over the East Herzegovina region (Bosnia and Herzegovina) were examined. The data on daily precipitation during the period 1961-2016 from 13 meteorological stations were used for the calculation of 12 extreme precipitation indices recommended by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices for the climate change assessment. The results show a downward trend in the precipitation on wet days (PRCPTOT) and in the frequency of days with precipitation (R0.1mm, R1mm, R10mm, and R20mm), whereas the duration of dry spells increases (CDD) over the entire East Herzegovina region. The trends that indicate increasing dryness are particularly pronounced and significant in the summer season. Although the total precipitation decreases, the upward trends in heavy precipitation events such as RX1day, RX5day, SDII, and R95p indicate changes towards more intense precipitation (particularly pronounced since the beginning of the 21st century). Precipitation variability was strongly dictated by the largescale atmospheric circulations-the North Atlantic Oscillation, the East Atlantic/West Russia pattern and the Arctic Oscillation, especially during the winter season-the significant negative correlation was determined for the majority of extreme precipitation indices.

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Section: Introductionsupporting

confidence: 66%

Analysis of extreme precipitation indices in the east Herzegovina (Bosnia and Herzegovina)

Popov¹,

Gnjato²,

Trbić³

et al. 2019

J geographical I JC

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“…For example, trends of increased extreme precipitation were found for the Western Arab region (Donat et al, ), Western Canada (Fu et al, ), the Philippines (Villafuerte Ii et al, ), the Caribbean region (Stephenson et al, ), the Chinese Tianshan Mountains (Wang et al, , ), Georgia (Keggenhoff et al, ), eastern North America and Eastern Europe (Donat et al, ). In contrast, trends of decreased extreme precipitation were reported in the Yellow River Basin, China (Wang et al, ), Croatia (Gajić‐Čapka et al, ), the Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East region (Kostopoulou et al, ), Northeast China (Wang et al, , ), northwestern North America and Southwest Europe (Donat et al, ). So it is vitally necessary to analyse the changing patterns of extreme precipitation on a regional scale.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 98%

Changes in summer extreme precipitation in Northeast Asia and their relationships with the East Asian summer monsoon during 1961-2009

Wang

et al. 2016

Int. J. Climatol.

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On the basis of the daily precipitation records of 442 meteorological stations throughout Northeast Asia (NEA) from 1961 to 2009, this study investigates spatiotemporal changes in summer extreme precipitation (SEP) and the relationship between SEP and East Asia summer monsoon (EASM) in NEA. The results show that the spatial patterns of the trends in SEP indices are similar, with obvious clustering, except for the consecutive dry days (CDD) index. Stations exhibiting increasing trends are mainly located in Eastern China (EC) and the western part of Western Japan (WJ). Stations with decreasing trends are mostly distributed in Northern China (NC) and the southern region of Eastern Japan (EJ). The spatial patterns of the correlations between the EASM index EASMI and the SEP indices are similar, except for the CDD index. Stations that show decreasing trends mostly exhibit positive correlations between SEP indices and the EASMI, and vice versa. The spatial patterns of trends (increasing trends in EC, decreasing trends in NC and Northeast China) in SEP indices between 1961 and 2009 have a correlation with a weakening EASM. This study demonstrates that the mechanism dominating the mean state change of the EASM also applies to SEP. A strong mid‐latitude cyclone could result in a regional SEP (R99p occurred in more than 20 stations over a subregion in 1 day) in EC and Japan in weak EASM years, and could result in a regional SEP in NC in strong EASM years.

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“…There is no doubt that the main change of the Sava River middle course discharge regimes in the contemporary period, the decrease of the summer and spring share in annual discharge, is well connected to the accelerated rise of mean annual and monthly air temperatures, to the increase in potential and real evapotranspiration and to the negative trend of runoff in almost whole of the Croatia (Pandžić et al 2009). Furthermore, the recent research of precipitation changes (Gajić-Čapka et al 2014) prove that in the 1961-2010 period there is a significant decrease in summer month precipitation amounts in all of Croatia and especially in the Dinaric part of Croatia (at a rate of -20 mm per decade); in the Dinaric part, there is also less precipitation in spring and even in fall months. This is important as the Sava River basin in large part extends to the Dinarides.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 98%

“…Previous research dealing with discharge regime on the Sava middle course include a hydrological analysis of measurements at the Slavonski Brod gauging station (Bonacci 2014) though mainly dealing with flood waters. For research at hand directly important results were presented by Pandžić et al (2009) as well as Gajić-Čapka and her co-authors (Gajić-Čapka, Cindrić 2011, Gajić-Čapka et al 2014) in the field of climatology. Those papers are necessary in understanding the causes of discharge regime changes in the region.…”

Section: Previous Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

Changes in discharge regimes in the middle course of the Sava River in the 1931–2010 period

2017

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In order to analyse discharge regimes in the middle course of the Sava River (Croatia and Bosnia and Herzegovina), three hydrologic stations were chosen, having homogenous as well as continuous data in the observed 1931-2010 period. Those stations are Rugvica at the beginning of the middle course of the Sava River, station Jasenovac located just forehead of the Una River mouth and all the other large tributaries from Bosnia and Herzegovina and station Županja near the end of the middle course of the Sava River. At all three stations, there are notable negative trends of annual mean (all stat. significant) and minimum discharges for the whole period. At the same time, only in the upper part of the middle course of the Sava River maximum annual discharges have a positive trend, contributing to more unfavourable regime characteristics. At all three stations a cyclic variation of mean annual discharges is observed, likely to be linked to the cyclic variation of annual precipitation in the area of the basin. According to the latest discharge regime typology of the region the discharge regime at Rugvica is of Peripannonian pluvial-nival type, while the discharge regimes downstream, at Jasenovac and Županja fall into Pannoninan pluvial-nival type.

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Trends in precipitation indices in Croatia, 1961–2010

Cited by 56 publications

References 32 publications

Analysis of extreme precipitation indices in the east Herzegovina (Bosnia and Herzegovina)

Analysis of extreme precipitation indices in the east Herzegovina (Bosnia and Herzegovina)

Changes in summer extreme precipitation in Northeast Asia and their relationships with the East Asian summer monsoon during 1961-2009

Changes in discharge regimes in the middle course of the Sava River in the 1931–2010 period

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