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2010
DOI: 10.3176/proc.2010.2.15
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Towards identification of areas of reduced risk in the Gulf of Finland, the Baltic Sea

Abstract: A Lagrangian trajectory model, TRACMASS with the use of velocity fields calculated by the Rossby Centre (Swedish Hydrological and Meteorological Institute) circulation model, is employed to analyse trajectories of current-driven surface transport in the Gulf of Finland, the Baltic Sea, for the period of 1987-1991. Statistical analysis of trajectories is performed to calculate a map of probabilities for adverse impacts released in different sea areas to hit the coast. There is a clearly defined curve (equiproba… Show more

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Cited by 37 publications
(56 citation statements)
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“…For the Baltic Sea, there have been several studies using model-simulated trajectories (Döös et al 2004;Soomere et al 2010;Corell et al 2012), but very little observational Lagrangian data. To the authors' knowledge, there has been only one experiment using Surface Velocity Program (SVP) drifters similar to the ones used in this study (Håkansson and Rahm 1993;Launiainen et al 1993).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For the Baltic Sea, there have been several studies using model-simulated trajectories (Döös et al 2004;Soomere et al 2010;Corell et al 2012), but very little observational Lagrangian data. To the authors' knowledge, there has been only one experiment using Surface Velocity Program (SVP) drifters similar to the ones used in this study (Håkansson and Rahm 1993;Launiainen et al 1993).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Consequently, it takes, on average, more than 20 days for two initially closely located particles to drift into different grid cells for the 2-nm horizontal resolution of the RCO model. This suggests that for the given length of calculations (10 days in Soomere et al 2010 and 20 days in the current study), the ignoring of subgridscale processes may modify a part of trajectories, but the majority of the simulated trajectories apparently will remain at a distance of less than one grid step from their position according to more realistic calculations. Therefore, it is apparently reasonable to assume that for the particular horizontal resolution of the ocean model and length of trajectories, the ignoring of subgrid spreading does not significantly affect the resulting 2D fields.…”
Section: Modelling Environmentmentioning
confidence: 92%
“…An early attempt to use the entire procedure using a reasonable amount of computation resources and offering a simple example of an approximate solution to the relevant inverse problem-the equiprobability line-is described in Soomere et al (2010). The new development here is the comparative analysis of the resulting optimum locations for the fairway based on different criteria (minimum probability, maximum particle age, equidistribution of probability) and establishing several interesting properties of the relevant 2D distributions and locations for almost optimum fairways.…”
Section: Modelling Environmentmentioning
confidence: 98%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Lagrangian trajectories of virtual particles (v-particles) carried passively or actively by ocean currents are very useful for estimating the fate of oil spills (Soomere et al, 2010) or living organisms (Corell, 2012;Ohashi and Sheng, 2015), as well as for planning rescue operations or finding lost goods. In large enough quantities, Lagrangian trajectories of v-particles can be used to track entire water masses, or to map the mean flow (Richardson, 1983).…”
Section: Particle Tracking Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%