Towards a Transformation of Mexico's Security Strategy

Guerrero, Eduardo

doi:10.1080/03071847.2013.807579

Cited by 8 publications

(3 citation statements)

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“…The situation in Mexico is also characterized by increasing fragmentation and infighting between criminal groups. In 2006, six major transnational drug cartels were operating in Mexico, but four years after that there were at least twice as many, while over sixty local criminal groups had emerged (Guerrero 2013). Organizational fragmentation has been linked to infighting and violence; unfortunately, research on rebel fragmentation remains underdeveloped and the question of its causes have yet to be properly researched (Bakke, Cunningham, and Seymour 2012).…”

Section: Civil Wars and Organized Crime: Insights From The Intersection Of Two Phenomenamentioning

confidence: 99%

How Civil Wars Help Explain Organized Crime—and How They Do Not

Kalyvas

2015

Journal of Conflict Resolution

154

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Large-scale organized crime occupies a gray zone between ordinary crime and political violence. The unprecedented scale of drug-related crime in Mexico has led to its description as an insurgency or even a civil war, a conceptual move that draws on recent studies that have associated civil war with large-scale criminality. By questioning both the ''crime as civil war'' and ''civil war as crime'' models, I argue that instead of folding the two phenomena, we should draw primarily from the microdynamics of civil war research program to identify areas of potentially productive cross-fertilization. I point to four such areas, namely, onset and termination, organization, combat and violence, and governance and territory. I conclude by sketching a theoretical and empirical agenda for the study of large-scale organized crime.

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Section: Civil Wars and Organized Crime: Insights From The Intersection Of Two Phenomenamentioning

confidence: 99%

How Civil Wars Help Explain Organized Crime—and How They Do Not

Kalyvas

2015

Journal of Conflict Resolution

154

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“…There is tentative evidence showing that some components of the strategy had significant costs. Homicides may have increased due to the use of the army to combat drug traffickers (Guerrero 2013), the nonselective attacks on criminal organizations (Lessing 2013;Osorio 2013), and the decapitation of criminal organizations (Dickenson 2014), although Phillips (2015) finds no general effect of military interventions.…”

Section: The Mexican Casementioning

confidence: 99%

Presidential Approval and Public Security in Mexico's War on Crime

Romero¹,

Magaloni

Díaz-Cayeros

2016

Lat. Am. polit. soc.

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To fight criminal organizations effectively, governments require support from significant segments of society. Citizen support provides important leverage for executives, allowing them to continue their policies. Yet winning citizens' hearts and minds is not easy. Public security is a deeply complex issue. Responsibility is shared among different levels of government; information is highly mediated by mass media and individual acquaintances; and security has a strong effect on peoples' emotions, since it threatens to affect their most valuable assets-life and property. How do citizens translate their assessments of public security into presidential approval? To answer this question, this study develops explicit theoretical insights into the conditions under which different dimensions of public security affect presidential approval. The arguments are tested using Mexico as a case study.T his study analyzes the impact that citizens' assessments of security issues have on presidential approval. Specifically, it delves into the specific conditions that prompt citizens to punish or reward the chief executive. Little is known about the impact public security issues have on presidential approval. The bulk of the literature has focused on analyzing the impact of the economy and foreign affairs on an executive's job approval. 1 The relationship between crime and performance evaluations has usually been the domain of local politics. However, due to the significant increase in crime and violence in many countries around the globe, the responsibility for public security has partially shifted away from local governments toward the national sphere of government.

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“…This policy was accompanied by the 2007 reform of the Federal Law Against Organized Crime that restricted constitutional guarantees for drug traffickers. Under this strategy, police forces concentrated on crimes related to drug trafficking, leading to the fragmentation of criminal groups and the diversification of criminal activities that were left out of cartel operations (Guerrero, 2013). The National Development Plan 2007-2012 states, in its eighth objective, that a frontal and effective combat to drug trafficking and other expressions of organized crime is needed to recover the strength of the state.…”

Section: Implications In National Security Policymentioning

confidence: 99%

Convergence Dynamics of Robbery Rates in Mexico

Fondevila

Massa

2018

Crime & Delinquency

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This work presents a time-series convergence (divergence) analysis for robbery rates in Mexico. Two distinctive features, in relation to previous studies, can be identified: first, the use of an autoregressive vector to better estimate the series dynamic compared with single-equation models, and second, the implementation of an escalation/de-escalation analysis is done using two variants of the same crime—high- and low-impact robberies. Our results suggest that modifications to the national security policy in Mexico have a direct—and rapid—effect on robbery crime trends. Moreover, the three phases of the dynamics between the rates coincide with the three major national security policies implemented in recent years: (a) 1997 to 2006, (b) 2007 to 2011, and (c) 2012 to 2018.

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Towards a Transformation of Mexico's Security Strategy

Cited by 8 publications

References 0 publications

How Civil Wars Help Explain Organized Crime—and How They Do Not

How Civil Wars Help Explain Organized Crime—and How They Do Not

Presidential Approval and Public Security in Mexico's War on Crime

Convergence Dynamics of Robbery Rates in Mexico

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