Towards a scholarship on regional elections

Schakel, Arjan H.; Romanova, Valentyna

doi:10.1080/13597566.2018.1473857

Cited by 27 publications

(15 citation statements)

References 38 publications

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“…Comparative regional-level data on public opinion, elites, social movements, and political parties are now available for much of the developed world (e.g. Schakel and Romanova 2018;Tatham and Bauer 2016;Zuber and Szöcsik 2019). Commensurate data would be immensely valuable for a wider range of regions.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Language difference and regional authority

Shair‐Rosenfield

Schakel

Niedzwiecki

et al. 2020

Regional & Federal Studies

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This paper draws on research in geography, linguistics, and political science to explain the incidence of language regions and their effect on regional authority. It conjectures a chain of mechanisms beginning with the physical and political barriers to human interaction and culminating with contemporary patterns of regional authority. Using data on 1767 regions in 95 countries, it finds causal power in the claim that the linguistic distinctiveness of a region reflects the ratio of internal interaction to external interaction. Finally, the effects of a language region for regional authority depend decisively on the openness of the political regime.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Language difference and regional authority

Shair‐Rosenfield

Schakel

Niedzwiecki

et al. 2020

Regional & Federal Studies

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“…The results of the provincial elections are in line with their second-order nature (cf. Schakel and Romanova 2018). Only one of four coalition parties, the ChristenUnie, managed to gain votes, the other three lost.…”

Section: Vote Choice and Election Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The 2019 provincial elections in the Netherlands: the Rise of Forum voor Democratie after a heavily nationalized campaign

Binnema

Vollaard

2020

Regional & Federal Studies

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The 2019 provincial elections marked a spectacular victory for challenger party Forum voor Democratie and a substantial defeat for two government parties. The Liberals, led by prime minister Rutte, which had been the largest party in many recent elections, came second in a fragmenting party-political landscape. The Greens were the other opposition winner, while two opposition parties at the ideological extremes, the Socialist Party and the Freedom Party, suffered considerable losses. Regional or non-statewide parties remained a marginal phenomenon: they attained on average three percent of the votes. Further illustrating the heavily nationalized nature of the provincial elections, the campaign mainly focused on national issues such as climate change and the possible loss of the majority for the coalition parties in the Senate, which is elected by the provincial councils. The latter clearly affected turnout, which rose to over 56%, the highest turnout in provincial elections in thirty years.

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“…In this scenario, regional voters use the European election to signal their discontent with parties in regional government and, as a result, these parties lose vote share whereas parties in regional opposition (and small and new parties) gain vote share. There is ample of (recent) evidence that some voters conceive regional elections equally or more important than national elections (e.g., Bechtel, 2012; Golder et al, 2017; Schakel & Romanova, 2018; Scully, 2013) and a number of authors have found that turnout in regional contests is often higher than for European elections (e.g., Henderson & McEwen, 2015; Rallings & Trasher, 2005; Schakel & Dandoy, 2014). Therefore, it can be expected that many voters think that regional elections are more important than European elections.…”

Section: Theorizing Regional Spillover Into European Electionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Regional spillover into third‐order European elections

Schakel

2021

Governance

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Second‐order election research clearly reveals that national incumbency impacts on European election outcomes but despite the increasing importance of regions few studies explore the impact of regional politics. I theorize that governmental status at the regional level, regional authority, and the relative timing of the regional election affects vote share swings between European and previously held national elections. Based on an analysis including 12,545 vote share swings for 468 parties that compete elections held in 209 regions in 11 European Union member states since 1979, I find strong evidence for prospective regional voting, that is, voters rewarding parties in government at the regional level. First, parties that are in national opposition and in regional government incur larger vote share gains than parties that are in opposition at both levels. Second, these vote share gains become larger when regional authority increases and, third, when a regional election has preceded a European election.

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Towards a scholarship on regional elections

Cited by 27 publications

References 38 publications

Language difference and regional authority

Language difference and regional authority

The 2019 provincial elections in the Netherlands: the Rise of Forum voor Democratie after a heavily nationalized campaign

Regional spillover into third‐order European elections

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