Towards a European strategy to address the COVID-19 pandemic

Priesemann, Viola; Balling, Rudi; Bauer, Šimon; Beutels, Philippe; Valdez, André Calero; Cuschieri, Sarah; Czypionka, Thomas; Dumpis, Uga; Glaab, Enrico; Grill, Eva; Hotulainen, Pirta; Iftekhar, Emil N.; Krutzinna, Jenny; Lionis, Christos; Machado, Helena; Martins, Carlos; McKee, Martin; Pavlakis, George N.; Perc, Matjaž; Petelos, Elena; Pickersgill, Martyn; Prainsack, Barbara; Rocklöv, Joacim; Schernhammer, Eva; Szczurek, Ewa; Tsiodras, Sotirios; Gucht, Steven Van; Willeit, Peter

doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(21)01808-0

Cited by 42 publications

(26 citation statements)

References 6 publications

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“…In any case, people's awareness about the danger of a disease should ideally be driven by trust in scientific and governmental bodies instead of by the current burden to the healthcare system. Hence, it is crucial during a disease outbreak to engage in extensive, expert-guided, and audience-tailored risk communication [56] and to prevent the spread of mis-and disinformation that could damage general trust [57,58]. Despite the empirical basis of our approach, the functional shape of the feedback mechanisms remains one of the main uncertainties in our model.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Interplay Between Risk Perception, Behavior, and COVID-19 Spread

et al. 2022

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Pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have been crucial for controlling COVID-19. They are complemented by voluntary health-protective behavior, building a complex interplay between risk perception, behavior, and disease spread. We studied how voluntary health-protective behavior and vaccination willingness impact the long-term dynamics. We analyzed how different levels of mandatory NPIs determine how individuals use their leeway for voluntary actions. If mandatory NPIs are too weak, COVID-19 incidence will surge, implying high morbidity and mortality before individuals react; if they are too strong, one expects a rebound wave once restrictions are lifted, challenging the transition to endemicity. Conversely, moderate mandatory NPIs give individuals time and room to adapt their level of caution, mitigating disease spread effectively. When complemented with high vaccination rates, this also offers a robust way to limit the impacts of the Omicron variant of concern. Altogether, our work highlights the importance of appropriate mandatory NPIs to maximise the impact of individual voluntary actions in pandemic control.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Interplay Between Risk Perception, Behavior, and COVID-19 Spread

et al. 2022

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“…PHC seems to be the suitable ground to achieve it and there are several positive examples gained from Crete that they can be used as best practices (15). To that direction, GP/FPs and PHC practitioners need to be equipped with skills of risk communication and to be able to provide appropriate management based on rational approaches and a clear understanding of people's risk perceptions (16)(17)(18). In addition, according to a recent publication (18), risk perception, motivation, and health literacy, all important predictors of health-seeking behavior and adherence to measures, needed to be addressed.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Family Medicine at the Forefront: Lessons Learnt From the COVID-19 Vaccine Rollout in Crete, Greece

Lionis

Anastasaki

Petelos

et al. 2022

Front. Public Health

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“…But to maintain low incidences in a populous and integrated region such as Europe, for example, coordination is key. 9 If all European countries aim for low incidence, then reaching this goal is much easier for each of them. Otherwise, a promising low-incidence strategy in one country is put at risk by shared mobility with regions of high incidence.…”

Section: The Capacity To Deliver a Coordinated Responsementioning

confidence: 99%

“…These measures are especially important for countries with high mobility and many neighbouring countries, making pan-national action necessary. 7 , 9 This approach does not seem politically feasible at the moment, given that European countries continue to adopt unilateral public health measures including varying travel restrictions.…”

Section: The Capacity To Deliver a Coordinated Responsementioning

confidence: 99%