Time to detection of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in broth culture was examined for utility as a treatment efficacy end point. Of 146 patients in a phase IIB trial, a decreased mean time to detection was found in 5 with treatment failure. Time to detection in an analysis-of-covariance model was associated with lung cavities, less intensive treatment, and differences in the bactericidal effects of treatment regimens.Development of new treatments for tuberculosis is hampered by the lack of an accurate surrogate end point and the high degree of efficacy of current 6-month regimens. Sputum culture status after 2 months of therapy, a binary test, is widely used for phase IIB trials but has only moderate accuracy for predicting failure/relapse (12) and requires large sample sizes (4,8). Changes in the number of colonies found in dilutions of sputum applied to solid medium is an end point that has been used to assess activities of single drugs and doses in phase IIA (early-bactericidal-activity) studies (10) and has also been suggested as an end point for phase IIB trials (15). Though promising, quantitative culture on solid medium involves prolonged sputum collections and intensive laboratory techniques and has been difficult to standardize at multiple sites. Time to detection in broth culture (TTD) is a potential end point that has a good correlation with quantitative culture on solid medium (11,13). An initial small study had suggested a correlation between a shorter time to detection (an indication of higher numbers of viable bacilli) and poor treatment outcomes (9). In this study, TTD was evaluated as a marker of regimen potency. Preliminary results have been reported elsewhere (16).
MATERIALS AND METHODSExperimental design. Patients for this study were drawn from Tuberculosis Trials Consortium (TBTC) Study 27, a randomized phase IIB trial that compared moxifloxacin to ethambutol and treatment 5 versus 3 times per week during the initial 2 months of treatment among patients with smear-positive, pulmonary tuberculosis (4). After completion of intensive-phase therapy, patients received standard continuation-phase treatment (3). The primary end point of the treatment trial was the dichotomous end point of 2-month culture status.For this post hoc study, TTD data were available from two African sites. Of 176 African patients in study 27, TTD data were available for 163 (93%). Treatment failure occurred in six of these patients, and although the patients were not routinely followed after therapy, one with a relapse was identified 5 weeks after treatment.Specimen collection and laboratory procedures. Spontaneously expectorated (spot) sputum samples were cultured every 2 weeks during the first 2 months and monthly thereafter. Standard culture methods were used but differed somewhat between sites. In Uganda, samples were processed using a final concentration of 1% sodium hydroxide, inoculated into Bactec 12B bottles, and monitored with the Bactec 460 system. In South Africa, a final concentration of 1.25% sodium hydroxide, M...