Three routes forward for biofuels: Incremental, leapfrog, and transitional

Morrison, Geoff; Witcover, Julie; Parker, Nathan; Fulton, Lew

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.10.014

Cited by 14 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 16 publications

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“…In addition, the economic analysis performed relied on a NOAK estimate. This tends to underestimate the capital costs and overestimate the plant performance if compared with FOAK plants Review the technological pathways that were assessed, including the reforming of naphtha, which is a co‐product of HEFA and FT‐SPK.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The economic analysis performed relies on a n th plant estimate (or n th of a kind, NOAK). This kind of evaluation tends to underestimate the capital costs and overestimates the plant performance compared with values observed for first‐of‐a‐kind plants (FOAK) . According to de Jong et al ., as biojet fuel production is a novel industry, pioneer plants estimate seem more appropriate to assess the short‐term economic feasibility of biojet production pathways.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Potential for biojet production from different biomass feedstocks and consolidated technological routes: a georeferencing and spatial analysis in Brazil

Carvalho

Silva

Szklo

et al. 2019

Biofuels Bioprod Bioref

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This paper assesses the biojet fuel production potential in Brazil. It evaluates feedstock availability by applying a georeferencing analysis, and determines the cost-effectiveness and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of selected production routes throughout their entire life cycle. This study identifies and locates Brazilian hotspots in terms of bioenergy availability and proximity to the main sites of fuel consumption and handling in the country. Findings show that the biomass availability for each crop in the hotspots would be sufficient to feed the biojet conversion plants proposed in this study. The biojet production potential in the hotspots would represent 48% of the country's jet fuel consumption in 2014, allowing the current certificated 50% blend with conventional fuel. The major biomass hotspots are close to airport and fuel logistic basis. However, even with a US$ 200.tCO -1 2 tax, hydroprocessed esters and fatty acids (HEFA) biojet is far from being competitive with petroleum-based jet fuel, whereas the Fischer-Tropsch synthetic paraffinic kerosene (FT-SPK) route may produce a competitive biojet. One possible pathway to incentivize biojet fuel production in Brazil would be, first, to implement carbon taxes that would allow the development of smaller plants. Then, with technological learning and larger production scales, it would be possible to reduce or even eliminate the carbon taxes.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Potential for biojet production from different biomass feedstocks and consolidated technological routes: a georeferencing and spatial analysis in Brazil

Carvalho

Silva

Szklo

et al. 2019

Biofuels Bioprod Bioref

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Economic analysis was based in Nth plants. This tends to underestimate capital costs, construction, and commissioning times and overestimate fuel production yields compared to pioneer plants [71,110,111]; 3.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Biofuels for Maritime Transportation: A Spatial, Techno-Economic, and Logistic Analysis in Brazil, Europe, South Africa, and the USA

et al. 2021

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Low or zero carbon fuels are crucial for maritime transportation decarbonization goals. This paper assesses potential localities for maritime biofuels (biobunkers) production in Brazil, Europe, South Africa, and United States considering geographical, logistic, and economic aspects. This assessment combines georeferenced and techno-economic analyses to identify suitable fuel production hotspots based on not only plant performance and costs but also on logistic integration and biomass seasonality. Five technology pathways were considered: Straight vegetable Oils (SVO), Hydrotreated Vegetable Oils (HVO), Fischer–Tropsch Biomass-to-liquids (FT-BTL), Alcohol oligomerization to middle distillates (ATD), and Hydrotreated Pyrolysis Oil (HDPO). Findings reveal that biomass concentration in Brazil makes it the region with highest biobunker potential, which are mostly close to coastal areas and surpasses regional demand. Although other regions registered more limited potentials, hotspots proximity to ports would enable fossil fuel replacements in these areas. For all cases, biobunker costs (USD 21–104/GJ) are higher than conventional marine fuels prices (USD 11–17/GJ). Only 15% of the hotspots’ carbon prices that would allow its competitiveness are lower than USD 100/tCO2. Alternatives to incentivize biobunker production would be, first, to establish mandatory fuel blends and second, to join forces with other sectors that would be benefited from the co-production of advanced biofuels.

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“…These conditions, combined with uncertain subsidy policies and market prices, make new processes of the type and scale envisioned in this paper a high financial risk. 29,30 The high capital cost can be an obstacle to new technologies such as production of fuel from lignocellulosic feedstock. 12 The intermingled barriers to AJF production of high fuel price and high capital requirements can be partially addressed by the selection of valuable co-products.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of co‐product selection on techno‐economic analyses of alternative jet fuel produced with forest harvest residuals

Brandt

Wooley²,

Geleynse

et al. 2020

Biofuels Bioprod Bioref

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Three routes forward for biofuels: Incremental, leapfrog, and transitional

Cited by 14 publications

References 16 publications

Potential for biojet production from different biomass feedstocks and consolidated technological routes: a georeferencing and spatial analysis in Brazil

Potential for biojet production from different biomass feedstocks and consolidated technological routes: a georeferencing and spatial analysis in Brazil

Biofuels for Maritime Transportation: A Spatial, Techno-Economic, and Logistic Analysis in Brazil, Europe, South Africa, and the USA

Impact of co‐product selection on techno‐economic analyses of alternative jet fuel produced with forest harvest residuals

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