Theory and applications of the Delphi technique: A bibliography (1975–1994)

Gupta, Uma G.; Clarke, Robert E.

doi:10.1016/s0040-1625(96)00094-7

Cited by 434 publications

(301 citation statements)

References 259 publications

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“…This paper is based on information obtained through a type of anonymous discussion and interactive questionnaire technique known as the "Delphi" method [27][28][29][30]. The method is a "qualitative, long-range forecasting technique that elicits, refines and draws upon the collective opinion and expertise of a panel of experts" [29].…”

Section: Delphi Methods and Structurementioning

confidence: 99%

Modeling Cross-Border Regions, Place-Making, and Resource Management: A Delphi Analysis

2017

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Along international borders, spillover of resource management issues is a growing challenge. Development of cross-border regions (CBRs) is seen as an emerging means of addressing these issues. A set of theoretical models, geo-economic mobilization and a resource-focused territorial program of place-making have been proposed as a lens for understanding why such change could occur. From this theory, we identify three C's as critical initial or necessary conditions to start the process: common territorial identity, convergence of knowledge and values, willingness for cooperation. We then utilize results of a Delphi study in the Fraser Lowland, a sub-district of the American-Canadian Cascadia borderland, to test if these three are present and actively working together. Our analysis based on both cumulative logit and mixed-effect modeling confirms the active existence of the three C's demonstrating the value of these theoretical models. However, the Delphi also shows that not all in this region are convinced of cross-border convergence and case studies provide mixed signals of successful cross-border resource management, indicating that sufficient conditions are yet to be fully met. Thus, our results confirm the value of these models as a lens to view events, but leave many questions to be researched.

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Section: Delphi Methods and Structurementioning

confidence: 99%

Modeling Cross-Border Regions, Place-Making, and Resource Management: A Delphi Analysis

2017

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“…The result of multiplecriteria GDM is more accurate than when one decision-maker decides. The core objective of the GDM is to get as many high-quality answers and perspectives as possible on the issue from a panel to enhance decision-making [8].…”

Section: Group Decision Makingmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In the next round experts have the right to revise their output based on the feedbacks from other panels in previous round on the nominal group technique. The Delphi round continues until the opinion of the group is formed and consistent [8,12,13]. Delphi result is better valid than other GDMs.…”

Section: Group Decision Makingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Group Decision Making With Unbalanced-Expertise

Sorooshian

2018

J. Phys.: Conf. Ser.

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Problem complexities have forced the decision makings techniques to shift to a more dynamic approach. In this study, a mixed decision-making methodology is introduced which integrates multi-attribute decision-making (MADM) techniques with qualitative group decision making approaches (Delphi, Brainstorming, and Nominal group technique). In addition, this study proposes a generalizable new multi-attribute group decision-making approach, with a group of experts who have a non-equal level of expertise. Feasibility of the proposed approach is tested with a case of a factor rating (Weighted Score method) MADM.

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“…Gupta and Clarke (1996) defined Delphi as a qualitative technique that extracts, refines and draws upon the collective opinion and expertise of a panel of experts. From the perspective of political risk, Delphi can be used to predict a future event or outcome in which a group of experts is required to give their opinions on variables that affect the political environment of a country, initially independently and subsequently by consensus, in order to discard any extreme views (Tsai and Su, 2005;Zolingen and Klaassen, 2003).…”

Section: The Fifth Heuristic Technique Is the Delphi Technique The Dmentioning

confidence: 99%

The use of political risk assessment techniques in Jordanian multinational corporations

Khattab

Awwad

Anchor

et al. 2011

Journal of Risk Research

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This paper describes and explains the use of political risk assessment techniques in Jordanian multinational corporations (MNCs).A multi-method approach to collect data was followed. A self-report questionnaire was delivered by hand to the general managers of all Jordanian MNCs which were identified as operating internationally. Semi-structured interviews were used as a means of elaborating on the findings from the questionnaire.The study identified the extensive use of heuristic political risk assessment techniques (due to their flexibility, simplicity and low cost). Scientific techniques, on the other hand, were used by only a minority of MNCs. As has been the case in earlier studies, flexibility, simplicity and cost considerations were all found to be influential in this regard.However, the study also found that key decision makers in Jordanian MNCs believe that official data is subject to censorship and is therefore not reliable. This undermines the efficiency of using highly sophisticated scientific techniques. Since there are a number of other countries in the Middle East -and elsewhere -in which these considerations also apply, this finding has important implications for international businesses which operate in these countries, whatever their home country.

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Theory and applications of the Delphi technique: A bibliography (1975–1994)

Cited by 434 publications

References 259 publications

Modeling Cross-Border Regions, Place-Making, and Resource Management: A Delphi Analysis

Modeling Cross-Border Regions, Place-Making, and Resource Management: A Delphi Analysis

Group Decision Making With Unbalanced-Expertise

The use of political risk assessment techniques in Jordanian multinational corporations

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