The Use of What-If Analysis to Improve the Management of Crisis Situations

Rome, Erich; Doll, Thomas; Rilling, Stefan; Sojeva, Betim; Voß, Norman; Xie, Jingquan

doi:10.1007/978-3-319-51043-9_10

Cited by 10 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 24 publications

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“…Our lesson from those games is that bringing together stakeholders to discuss a common problem from different social and infrastructure (technical) perspectives can potentially foster systems thinking in the civil system engineering sector. For example, CIPRTrainer is a game to increase the awareness of crisis managers in disasters about interconnected critical infrastructures while understanding possible consequences of a specific scenario evolution (Rome et al, 2016). Revisited serious games aim to provide a tool for decision-makers to train themselves.…”

Section: Related Work: Serious Games For Community Resilience Buildingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Playing With Uncertainty: Facilitating Community-Based Resilience Building

Avendano-Uribe

Lukosch²,

Milke³

2022

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Resilience has become a fundamental paradigm for communities to deal with disaster planning. Formal methods are used to prioritise and decide about investments for resilience. Strategies and behaviour need to be developed that cannot be based on formal modelling only because the human element needs to be incorporated to build community resilience. Participatory modelling and gaming are methodological approaches that are based on realistic data and address human behaviour. These approaches enable stakeholders to develop, adjust, and learn from interactive models and use this experience to inform their decision-making.<em> </em>In our contribution, we explore which physical and digital elements from serious games can be used to design a participatory approach in community engagement and decision-making. Our ongoing research aims to bring multiple stakeholders together to understand, model, and decide on the trade-offs and tensions between social and infrastructure investments toward community resilience building. Initial observations allow us as researchers to systematically document the benefits and pitfalls of a game-based approach. We will continue to develop a participatory modelling exercise for resilience planning with university graduate students and resilience experts within academia in Christchurch, New Zealand.

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Section: Related Work: Serious Games For Community Resilience Buildingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Playing With Uncertainty: Facilitating Community-Based Resilience Building

Avendano-Uribe

Lukosch²,

Milke³

2022

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“…The ARCH DSS was developed by customizing the CIPCast DSS, a GIS-based DSS developed as part of the EU-funded FP7 project CIPRNet (Critical Infrastructures Pre-paredness and Resilience Research Network, [80,81]) for real-time and operational (24/7) monitoring and risk analysis of built and natural assets, with special focus on the analysis of interdependent critical infrastructures such as electric power, water, telecommunication, road networks, and strategic buildings [82][83][84][85]. CIPCast DSS built as a combination of free/open-source software environments, detailed presentation and explanation of which is provided in [80,81].…”

Section: Arch Dss Software Architecturementioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing Earthquake Impacts and Monitoring Resilience of Historic Areas: Methods for GIS Tools

Giovinazzi

Marchili

Pietro

et al. 2021

IJGI

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Historic areas (HAs) are highly vulnerable to natural hazards, including earthquakes, that can cause severe damage, if not total destruction. This paper proposes methods that can be implemented through a geographical information system to assess earthquake-induced physical damages and the resulting impacts on the functions of HAs and to monitor their resilience. For the assessment of damages, making reference to the universally recognised procedure of convoluting hazard, exposure, and vulnerability, this paper proposes (a) a framework for assessing hazard maps of both real and end-user defined earthquakes; (b) a classification of the exposed elements of the built environment; and (c) an index-based seismic vulnerability assessment method for heritage buildings. Moving towards the continuous monitoring of resilience, an index-based assessment method is proposed to quantify how the functions of HAs recover over time. The implementation of the proposed methods in an ad hoc customized WebGIS Decision Support System, referred to as ARCH DSS, is demonstrated in this paper with reference to the historic area of Camerino-San Severino (Italy). Our conclusions show how ARCH DSS can inform and contribute to increasing awareness of the vulnerabilities of HAs and of the severity of the potential impacts, thus supporting effective decision making on mitigation strategies, post-disaster response, and build back better.

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“…CIPCast is a GIS-based Decision Support System (DSS) developed as part of the EU-funded FP7 project CIPRNet (Critical Infrastructures Preparedness and Resilience ResearchNetwork) [10]. CIPCast provides a database, an interoperable platform and a user-friendly WebGIS interface.…”

Section: Cipcast Simulation and Decision Support Systemmentioning

confidence: 99%

Applying Simulation to Advance Resilience of Historic Areas to Climate Change and Natural Hazards

Katharina¹,

Giovinazzi²,

Lückerath³

et al. 2020

Proceedings ASIM SST 2020

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The EU-H2020 project ARCH aims to develop and adapt tools and methods for assessing and improving the resilience of historic areas to climate-related and other natural hazards [1]. One of these tools is CIPCast, a scenario simulation and decision support system for the analysis and forecast of risks and vulnerabilities of critical infrastructure components and their interdependencies. In this paper, we describe the basic functionalities of CIPCast, as far as the application to seismic risk assessment is concerned and we provide an overview of the models behind it. Furthermore, a brief discussion on how we plan to extend CIPCast to model and simulate potential risks and impacts induced by climate change to historic areas, and how this is intended to support resilience assessment strategies, is provided in the conclusions.

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The Use of What-If Analysis to Improve the Management of Crisis Situations

Cited by 10 publications

References 24 publications

Playing With Uncertainty: Facilitating Community-Based Resilience Building

Playing With Uncertainty: Facilitating Community-Based Resilience Building

Assessing Earthquake Impacts and Monitoring Resilience of Historic Areas: Methods for GIS Tools

Applying Simulation to Advance Resilience of Historic Areas to Climate Change and Natural Hazards

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