The Use of the Foresight Methods in Developing an Algorithm for Conducting Qualitative Examination of the Research Activities Results on the Example of the Republic of Kazakhstan

Abstract

In modern conditions, it is interesting to study foresight as an effective tool for identifying new strategic scientific directions. Its purpose is to develop an algorithm for conducting qualitative expertise in the application of the foresight methods with the ability to integrate forecast estimates. Currently, the vast majority of research activities results do not contribute to the innovative development of the state. To solve this problem, it is necessary to ensure a stable systemic relationship between specific sectors of the economy and higher education. The algorithm is developed on the basis of a systematic approach to the foresight methods and the use of the methods of bibliometrics, scientometrics, patent analysis and forecasting. The results and conclusions of this study are: an algorithm has been developed for conducting qualitative examination of the results of scientific activities in order to increase its practical significance, in which the authors propose the foresight methods as the most optimal tool for choosing priority areas of science and technology. Putting this approach into practice will make it possible to increase the efficiency of the foresight methods by both reducing time costs, and rationally using monetary and human resources.

Research Productivity in Emerging Economies: Empirical Evidence from Kazakhstan

“…The analysis reveals few subject areas where the local scholars are influential in their global research community. The number of citations per article (the citation rate) is a long-term indicator of the quality of research in a published article [4]. Given the importance of this indicator, it could be changed over time and some of the subject areas may see a positive trend in the future [39].…”

“…Among these countries, Kazakhstan is one of the few that has built a relatively robust research infrastructure, including support through grants, access of researchers to research mobility programs, earlier application of the Bologna processes, and other measures to increase its research performance indicators [3]. In turn, such measures have resulted in the improved scientific engagement of local researchers in the international arena [4]. This has all led to increased research published in international peer-reviewed outlets, improved productivity of the local researchers, and raised the scientometric indexes of the country.…”

Studying the Approaches of European Countries in Foresight Studies of the Development of Science and Green Technologies for Adopting Their Experience in the Context of Kazakhstan

“…Решение этой проблемы требует устойчивой системной связи между отраслями экономики и высшим образованием. Разработанный алгоритм базируется на системном подходе к методам предвидения, включая библиометрию, наукометрию, патентный анализ и прогнозирование [5].…”

“…На сегодняшний день в большинстве стран мира, таких как США, Япония, Австралия, Финляндия, Великобритания, Франция и др., методология форсайта зарекомендовала себя как наиболее эффективный инструмент выбора приоритетов в области науки и технологий. Применение форсайта распространяется на прогнозирование всех уровней научно-технологического развития и формирование средне-и долгосрочных стратегий развития экономики, науки и технологий с целью повышения их конкурентоспособности [5,6]. Основная идея форсайта заключается в определении стратегических направлений развития науки, техники, экономики, социальной сферы и др., которые станут определяющими для развития государства и мирового сообщества через 15-20 лет [7,8].…”

Migration Potential of Students and Development of Human Capital

“…A country may lag in socio-economic development if it loses its intellectual potential due to "brain drain" and does not replenish it through "brain drain". Therefore, qualified and highly educated specialists are a key factor in the competitiveness of countries [23][24][25]. This circumstance makes the issue of student migration vital for the development of countries.…”