The Tourism Futures Simulator: a systems thinking approach

Walker, Paul; Greiner, Romy; McDonald, David; Lyne, Vincent

doi:10.1016/s1364-8152(98)00033-4

Cited by 79 publications

(43 citation statements)

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“…(1) Obergurgl/Austria (1974)(1975)(1976)(1977)(1978)(1979)(1980)(1981)(1982)(1983)(1984): A model project for Alpine ski resorts in Austria used to demonstrate environmental assessment and management (Holling, 1978;Moser & Moser, 1986;Moser & Peterson, 1981, 1988); (2) Sporades Islands/ Greece (1990Greece ( -1993: An experimental test case that assessed the impacts of different policy options on the islands (Giaoutzi & Nijkamp, 1993;van den Bergh, 1991); (3) Bali/Indonesia (1998)(1999)(2000): A study (Ph.D. dissertation) undertaken to establish a framework for strategic sustainable development planning at a regional level (Wiranatha, 2001;Wiranatha & Smith, 2000); (4) Douglas Shire/Australia (1998)(1999)(2000)(2001)(2002)(2003)(2004): A tourism re-search project that tested management policies in a coastal and rainforest area that provides a gateway to reef tourism (Walker et al, 1999); (5) Ping Ding/Taiwan (2003)(2004)(2005): A sensitivity model (Vester, 2002;Vester & von Hesler, 1982) used as a planning tool for development in a small tourism village (Chan & Huang, 2004); and (6) Guilin/Mainland China (1998)(1999)(2000): A systems model developed to examine reasons and possible mitigation strategies for the declining tourism industry in an ageing tourism region …”

Section: Sdm Case Studies Analysed In the Context Of The Ltdmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The aim was to develop a framework for evaluating the benefits and impacts of nature-based tourism and the policy options for managing tourism activity and development (Walker et al, 1999). The scientists observed that the SDM used in combination with the LO concept was effective in achieving team learning and harnessing the creative power of tourism stakeholders.…”

Section: Sdm Case Studies Analysed In the Context Of The Ltdmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Although SDM has been applied in the context of tourism destination management for strategic planning and impact prediction (Holling, 1978;van den Bergh, 1991;Walker, Greiner, McDonald, & Lyne, 1999;Wiranatha, 2001), the current literature does not systematically evaluate the value of the tool for organisational learning. SDM, a computerbased methodology to support systems thinking by simulating the dynamics of complex systems, is often used to quantify the effects of the interconnections and time delays and to run "what if" simulations to test certain policies (Forrester, 1971;Meadows, Randers, & Meadows, 2004;Sterman, 2000;van den Belt, 2004).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

The Learning Tourism Destination: The potential of a learning organisation approach for improving the sustainability of tourism destinations

2007

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Globalisation, increasing complexity, and the need to address triple-bottom line sustainability have seen the proliferation of Learning Organisations (LO) who, by definition, have the capacity to anticipate environmental changes and economic opportunities and adapt accordingly. Such organisations use system dynamics modelling (SDM) for both strategic planning and the promotion of organisational learning. Although SDM has been applied in the context of tourism destination management for predictive reasons, the current literature does not analyse or recognise how this could be used as a foundation for an LO. This study introduces the concept of the Learning Tourism Destinations (LTD) and discusses, on the basis of a review of six case studies, the potential of SDM as a tool for the implementation and enhancement of collective learning processes. The results reveal that SDM is capable of promoting communication between stakeholders and stimulating organisational learning. It is suggested that the LTD approach be further utilised and explored.

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Section: Sdm Case Studies Analysed In the Context Of The Ltdmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Sdm Case Studies Analysed In the Context Of The Ltdmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Learning Tourism Destination: The potential of a learning organisation approach for improving the sustainability of tourism destinations

2007

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“…The construction of various tourism infrastructures increased tourist interest and visitation at the ecotourism site [89,90]. Eulsukdo's revenues from tourism rose because of the increase in the number of tourists, which benefitted Eulsukdo's local community.…”

Section: The Business Field Of the Ecotourism Systemmentioning

confidence: 99%

Transformation Planning for Resilient Wildlife Habitats in Ecotourism Systems

et al. 2017

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An ecotourism system that is based on wildlife habitats in ecological systems is considered a social-ecological system that has a feedback relationship with social systems. Increases in socioeconomic activities and tourism infrastructure construction are not conducive to the resilience of wildlife habitats, thereby stressing the ecological system and threatening sustainable ecotourism. Managing resilient wildlife habitats by developing transformation plans that can be used to construct new systems through self-organization and the absorption of stress is paramount to perpetuating sustainable ecotourism systems. This study aims to establish transformation plans to enhance the resilience of systems thinking regarding wildlife habitats. Such thinking involves the sequential application of dynamic thinking, causal thinking, closed-loop thinking, and the discovery of strategies. This study examines the case study of Eulsukdo Island in South Korea, and the following transformation plans are derived: (1) high-quality eco-education programs to help tourists become hard ecotourists; (2) subsidies for foraging area restoration; (3) ecosystem services of wildlife habitats; and (4) governance organization led by multiple actors. The results of this study can provide guidelines for the effective use of natural resources at ecotourism destinations and for the ecotourism development of damaged wildlife habitats.

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“…The TFP is a systems-based modelling project that was designed by the Australian Commonwealth Scientific and Research Organization (CSIRO) to assist planners and tourism operators to understand their community and business capacity to deal with changes in the tourism market (Walker et al, 1999). First implemented in 1997 in the Shire of Port Douglas, Queensland, the project expanded into a regional Sustainable Tourism Cooperative Research Centre (STCRC) funded project in the South West 'Tapestry' Region of Western Australia where, after an initial implementation phase, funding and management of the project was placed in the hands of the local governments, tourism operators and university personnel within the region.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%