The short-term and long-term deterrence effects of INS border and interior enforcement on undocumented immigration

Dávila, Alberto; Pagán, José A.; Soydemir, Gökçe

doi:10.1016/s0167-2681(02)00010-0

Cited by 37 publications

(24 citation statements)

References 22 publications

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“…12 These comparative statics show that the optimal migration length is a positive function of both current and future levels of border enforcement.…”

Section: Optimal Migration Durationmentioning

confidence: 95%

“…Hanson and Spilimbergo (1999), estimate the elasticity of apprehensions with respect to border enforcement from a reduced-form aggregate apprehension function. Davila et al (2001) estimate the short and long-run deterrent effect of border controls. 3 However, if one wants to estimate how border enforcement affects the stock of illegal migrants, the variable of interest is migration net flow: the effect of border controls on migration inflow is likely to differ from its impact on the net flow, if enforcement also changes illegal migrants' outflow.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…12 This assumes that wage differentials are identical in the two periods. This simplifies the notation without changing the signs of the partial derivatives.…”

Section: Optimal Migration Durationmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

US Border Enforcement and the Net Flow of Mexican Illegal Migration

Angelucci

2012

Economic Development and Cultural Change

101

108

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in Bonn is a local and virtual international research center and a place of communication between science, politics and business. IZA is an independent nonprofit company supported by Deutsche Post World Net. The center is associated with the University of Bonn and offers a stimulating research environment through its research networks, research support, and visitors and doctoral programs. IZA engages in (i) original and internationally competitive research in all fields of labor economics, (ii) development of policy concepts, and (iii) dissemination of research results and concepts to the interested public. Terms of use: Documents in U.S. Border Enforcement and the Net Flow of Mexican Illegal Migration Manuela Angelucci D I S C U S S I O N P A P E R S E R I E SIZA Discussion Papers often represent preliminary work and are circulated to encourage discussion. Citation of such a paper should account for its provisional character. A revised version may be available directly from the author. This paper investigates the effect of U.S. border enforcement on the net flow of Mexican undocumented migration. It shows how this effect is theoretically ambiguous, given that increases in border controls deter prospective migrants from crossing the border illegally, but lengthen the duration of current illegal migrations. It then estimates the impact of enforcement on 1972-1993 migration net flows by merging aggregate enforcement data with micro data on potential and current illegal Mexican migrants. The econometric model accounts for the endogeneity of border controls using the Drug Enforcement Administration budget as an instrumental variable. Both the inflow and outflow of illegal Mexican migration are highly sensitive to changes in border enforcement. The estimates of the enforcement overall effect on illegal migration's net flow range across different specifications, from a decline -about 35% of the size of the effect on the inflow -to an increase. Thus, they suggest that border enforcement may not be an effective means to reduce the level of the illegal alien population in the United States. JEL Classification:F22, J61, K42, O15

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“…12 These comparative statics show that the optimal migration length is a positive function of both current and future levels of border enforcement.…”

Section: Optimal Migration Durationmentioning

confidence: 95%

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

US Border Enforcement and the Net Flow of Mexican Illegal Migration

Angelucci

2012

Economic Development and Cultural Change

101

108

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“…These actions have attracted the attention of researchers trying to assess their effects. See, for instance, Hanson and Spilimbergo (1999), Orrenius (2001), Dávila et al (2002), Hanson et al (2002), Amuedo-Dorantes and Bansak (2012), Good (2013) and Bohn et al (2014). This paper joins this literature by evaluating the short-term effects of immigration legislation.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 87%

The short-term response of the Hispanic noncitizen population to anti-illegal immigration legislation

Sánchez

2017

JEFAS

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Purpose This paper aims to examine the short-term effect of the Arizona Immigration Law of 2010 (SB 1070) on the noncitizen Hispanic state population. Design/methodology/approach To get a consistent estimate of this effect, a synthetic control method has been used to calculate a suitable counterfactual. Findings Results indicate that this bill produced a statistically significant short-term reduction in the proportion of noncitizen Hispanics in Arizona between 10 and 15 per cent. However, the evidence suggests that this effect vanishes after a few months. Originality/value These findings are consistent with previous evidence of the high mobility of the undocumented population in the US, and contribute to the understanding of the effects of federal and state-level immigration legislation.

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“…Main articles include Hanson and Spilimbergo (1999), Davila, Pagan and Soydemir (2002), Hanson, Robertson and Spilimbergo (2002), McIntosh (2009, 2010), Massey and Riosmena (2010), Angelucci (2012), Massey Durand andPren (2014), Triandafyllidou (2018) and so on.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Does “Higher Wall” Hinder Immigration?

Fujita¹

2018

RWE

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In the present paper, we examine if "higher wall" really hinders immigration i.e., if tightening of border enforcement reduces immigration. The framework we construct is a stochastic one where an individual intends immigration under uncertainty that is expressed by geometric Brownian motion. It is revealed that "higher wall", contrary to the intention of regulatory authorities, does not hinder immigration.

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The short-term and long-term deterrence effects of INS border and interior enforcement on undocumented immigration

Cited by 37 publications

References 22 publications

US Border Enforcement and the Net Flow of Mexican Illegal Migration

US Border Enforcement and the Net Flow of Mexican Illegal Migration

The short-term response of the Hispanic noncitizen population to anti-illegal immigration legislation

Does “Higher Wall” Hinder Immigration?

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