The Science of Policymaking: Responding to ENSO

Golnaraghi, Maryam; Senior, Rajiv Kaul

doi:10.1080/00139157.1995.9929210

Cited by 10 publications

(6 citation statements)

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“…The second dimension refers to the actors, and therefore to the question of who adapts. A great number of researchers have conducted their research within the laboratory of extreme events and climate variability, suggesting that the factors that determine the responses to such events are often the same that influence the capacity to adapt to longer-term climate change (Golnaraghi and Kaul, 1995;Podesta´et al, 2002;Ziervogel and Downing, 2004), especially since adaptation to climate change may involve primarily a response to a greater threat of the extreme (McBean, 2004). Later in this paper we draw from two case studies that are examples of responses to the risks of climate change related extreme events (flood and drought), and we suggest that they do shed important light on longerterm adaptation, since adaptation to climate change by private actors (like homeowners or farmers) does not qualify as adaptation to climate change as such (i.e., a global, long-term phenomenon) but as adaptation to climate change related regional and short-term impacts.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adaptive capacity and human cognition: The process of individual adaptation to climate change

Grothmann

Patt

2005

Global Environmental Change

1,506

1,085

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adaptive capacity and human cognition: The process of individual adaptation to climate change

Grothmann

Patt

2005

Global Environmental Change

1,506

1,085

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“…Watts 1983, Downing 1991, Corbett 1988, Golnaraghi & Kaul 1995 vividly demon-strates that vulnerability is as much about households and society as about climate variability. Whereas climatic events provide the context for understanding vulnerability, the concept itself is essentially a socioeconomic or ecological one.…”

Section: Introduction: Vulnerability and Adaptationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Processes of adaptation to climate variability: a case study from the US Southwest

Finan¹,

West²,

Austin³

et al. 2002

Clim. Res.

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The nature of adaptation to climate variability in the Southwest US is explored using the Middle San Pedro River Valley in southern Arizona as a case study. An integrated vulnerability assessment focuses on the dynamic interaction of natural climatic and hydrological systems with socio-economic systems. This approach reveals that residents in the study region do not perceive short-term or long-term vulnerability to climate variability or climate change. The paper uses an ethnographic field approach to examine the technical and organizational factors that constitute the adaptation process and reduce vulnerability to climate in the valley. It concludes by discussing the potential dangers of ignoring climate in a rapidly growing, semi-arid environment. KEY WORDS: Climate variability · Climate vulnerability · US Southwest · Livelihood · AdaptationResale or republication not permitted without written consent of the publisher

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“…The first major success in climate forecast application occurred in 1992, when the Brazilian state of Ceará warned farmers of an impending El Niño and supplied them with free droughttolerant seeds, resulting in a dramatic increase in their yields over what they would have otherwise received (8). Several national and international meteorological organizations have since developed processes for ensuring that seasonal climate forecasts would be communicated to national-level decision makers (9)(10)(11).…”

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confidence: 99%

Effects of seasonal climate forecasts and participatory workshops among subsistence farmers in Zimbabwe

Patt

Suarez²,

Gwata³

2005

Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A.

211

116

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Improvements in the ability to model El Niñ o and other large-scale interannual climate variations have allowed for the development of seasonal climate forecasts, predicting rainfall and temperature anomalies for many places around the world. These forecasts have allowed developing countries to predict shortfalls in grain yields, with benefits for food security. Several countries communicate the forecasts to subsistence farmers, which could allow them to mitigate the effects of drought on their harvests by adapting their cropping decisions accordingly. However, it has not been demonstrated that subsistence farmers benefit from having access to the forecasts. Here we present evidence of subsistence farmers using the forecasts over multiple years to make different decisions and significantly improving their harvests when they do so. In a controlled study, farmers in Zimbabwe who reported adapting their farming methods to seasonal climate forecasts significantly improved their harvests over baseline amounts. Moreover, farmers who had attended a brief workshop and learned more about the forecasts were significantly more likely to use the forecasts than were farmers who learned of the forecasts through nonparticipatory channels.climate change ͉ climate forecasting ͉ sustainable development

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The Science of Policymaking: Responding to ENSO

Cited by 10 publications

References 0 publications

Adaptive capacity and human cognition: The process of individual adaptation to climate change

Adaptive capacity and human cognition: The process of individual adaptation to climate change

Processes of adaptation to climate variability: a case study from the US Southwest

Effects of seasonal climate forecasts and participatory workshops among subsistence farmers in Zimbabwe

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