The Relationship between Migration and Economic Growth in Turkey: Toda-Yamamoto Causality Test

Meçik, Oytun; Koyuncu, Tuğba

doi:10.15869/itobiad.748770

Cited by 14 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 27 publications

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“…Bu nedenle, bu tür serilerin analizinde Granger nedensellik testi yerine Toda-Yamamoto nedensellik testi tercih edilmektedir. Zira vektör otoregresif (VAR) modele dayanan Toda-Yamamoto (1995) testi, modeldeki değişkenlerin aynı dereceden durağan olup olmadığına bakmaksızın düzeyde model tahmini yapabilmektedir (Meçik ve Koyuncu, 2020, s. 2625-2626.…”

Section: Toda-yamamoto Nedensellik Testiunclassified

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Determining the Relationship between Education, Health and R&D Expenditures with Economic Growth Using ARDL Boundary Test

Demir

2021

MANAS Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi

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Özİnsanoğlu, yaşam standardını yükseltmek için sürekli bir çaba içerisinde olmuştur. Ancak daha sağlıklı, bilinçli ve kaliteli yaşam standartlarına ulaşmanın yolu genellikle iktisadi zaman serileri arasındaki ilişkilerin doğru bir şekilde belirlenmesi ve dolayısıyla daha iyi bir kalkınma stratejisi geliştirmesi ile mümkün olabilir. Bu amaç doğrultusunda; bu çalışmada 1996-2019 yılları arasındaki yıllık veriler kullanılarak Türkiye'nin eğitim, sağlık ve Ar-Ge harcamalarının ekonomik büyümesi üzerine olan etkileri incelenmiştir. Değişkenler arasındaki ilişkilerin belirlenmesinde ARDL sınır testi ve ilişkilerin yönünün belirlenmesinde de Toda-Yamamoto nedensellik testi kullanılmıştır. Analizler, %5 anlamlılık düzeyinde uzun dönemde eğitim, sağlık ve Ar-Ge harcamaları ile GSYİH arasında anlamlı ve pozitif yönlü bir ilişki olduğunu göstermiştir. Ayrıca, Toda-Yamamoto testi ise her bir değişken ile GSYİH arasındaki nedensellik ilişkinin çift yönlü olduğunu göstermiştir. Sonuç olarak; eğitim, sağlık ve Ar-Ge alanlarında yapılan iyileştirmelerin gelir düzeyini ve dolayısıyla yaşam kalitesini artırdığı söylenebilir. Bu nedenle, Türkiye'de devletin bu alanlara yapacağı yatırımlar önem arz etmekte ve ilgili kurumların bu alanlara yönelik politikalar geliştirilmesi önerilmektedir.

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Section: Toda-yamamoto Nedensellik Testiunclassified

“…eşitlikleri ile gösterilmektedir. Ancak Toda-Yamamoto nedensellik işleminin uygulanabilmesi için değerinin, değerini aşmaması gerekmektedir (Meçik ve Koyuncu, 2020, s. 2626Riyath, 2018, s. 7).…”

Section: Toda-yamamoto Nedensellik Testiunclassified

Determining the Relationship between Education, Health and R&D Expenditures with Economic Growth Using ARDL Boundary Test

Demir

2021

MANAS Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi

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“…İnterestingly, they find that immigration positively affects the unemployment and economic growth both. A similar study by Meçik and Koyuncu (2020) analyse the causality between economic growth and total immigration in Turkey for annual data between 1991 and 2018. They find unidirectional causality from immigration to economic growth.…”

Section: Related Literature and Contributionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Impact of Syrian Migration on Unemployment: Evidence from Turkey

Serttaş

Uluöz

2021

Adam Akademi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi

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This study examines the labor market effects of the influx of the Syrian refugees in Turkey. Engle-Granger and Johansen co-integration tests, followed by the autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) bounds tests reveal that the Turkish unemployment and Syrian refugee series are co-integrated; pointing out to a long-run relationship. Shortrun and long-run dynamics have been analyzed from the fitted ARDL model and the error-correction parameter is used to examine the speed of convergence. Dynamic OLS (DOLS), fully modified least squares (FM-OLS) and canonical co-integrating regression (CCR) estimations are used to make inferences about the co-integration parameters. Empirical results show that there is a significant and negative relationship between the level of unemployment in Turkey and the number of Syrian refugees in the long-run, indicating that the influx of Syrian refugees has had a reducing effect on unemployment numbers in Turkey. Our results suggest that the Syrian refugees have acted as a complementary labor force to the existing Turkish labor force.

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“…The study found that there is a bilateral causality between external immigration and economic growth in Turkey, according to Granger Causality test result. Recently, Meçik and Koyuncu (2020) determined the causality relationship between economic growth of Turkey and international migration flows to Turkey using Toda-Yamamoto technique for the period 1991-2018. They discovered that there is a unidirectional causality from migration to economic growth.…”

Section: Empirical Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…There are many previous studies (Yapraklı and Sağlam, 2010;Algan et al, 2017, Özkan andÇelik, 2018) regarding the effect of ICT on growth and studies (Meçik and Koyuncu, 2020) about international migration-economic growth nexus in Turkey. As a contribution to the literature, this paper will test the role of ICT on both external immigration movements to Turkey and economic growth in Turkey.…”

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confidence: 99%

The Relationship Between Information and Communication Technology (ICT), International Migration and Economic Growth in Turkey

Ari

2021

Alanya Akademik Bakış

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The paper examines the information and communication technologyinternational migration-economic growth nexus for Turkish economy using annual time series data covering the period of . Toda-Yamamoto Causality Test (TY) was used in the application of econometric method The results obtained indicated that there is a unidirectional causality from international migration to economic growth in the long run for Turkey. This is inline with the empirical evidences that external immigrant movements can promote economic growth in receiving country. Although the form of migration to Turkey is unclear in terms of skilled or unqualified labor force, international migrants, even including daytripper workers from neighbour countries, boost the economic activities especially in agriculture, construction and service sectors in Turkey. The paper also concluded that there is a oneway causal relationship between ICT and economic growth. The ICT usage can make a substantial contribution to economic growth of Turkey so Turkish government should improve the infrastructure of Internet and mobile phone with a conscious policy initiative. Besides, lastly, it is observed that there is not a causal relationship between migration and ICT at 5 % for Turkey. It's found that there is a unidirectional causality from migration to ICT at 10 %.

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The Relationship between Migration and Economic Growth in Turkey: Toda-Yamamoto Causality Test

Abstract: Bu makale, en az iki hakem tarafından incelenmiş ve intihal içermediği teyit edilmiştir. / This article has been reviewed by at least two referees and confirmed to include no plagiarism.

Cited by 14 publications

References 27 publications

Determining the Relationship between Education, Health and R&D Expenditures with Economic Growth Using ARDL Boundary Test

Determining the Relationship between Education, Health and R&D Expenditures with Economic Growth Using ARDL Boundary Test

The Impact of Syrian Migration on Unemployment: Evidence from Turkey

The Relationship Between Information and Communication Technology (ICT), International Migration and Economic Growth in Turkey

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