The probabilities of sex offender re‐arrest

Broadhurst, Roderic; Loh, Nini

doi:10.1002/cbm.535

Cited by 25 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 41 publications

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“…Both of these factors significantly decreased the odds of sex recidivism post-release: A 1-year increase in the age at the time of release resulted in a 3.6% decrease in the likelihood of sexual re-offending, whereas having a family member victim decreased the odds of sex recidivism by 55.5%. The latter has also been demonstrated in prior studies that report higher risks of sexual recidivism among sex offenders with extra-familial victims (Broadhurst & Loh, 2003; Hanson & Bussiere, 1998; Kruttschnitt, Uggen, & Shelton, 2000). 4…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 69%

Examining the Continuity of Juvenile Sex Offending Into Adulthood and Subsequent Patterns of Sex and General Recidivism

Beaudry‐Cyr

Jennings

Zgoba

et al. 2016

Int J Offender Ther Comp Criminol

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Current sex offending legislation and public opinion present an image of sexual offenders as specialized predators who are likely to exhibit continued sexually deviant behavior over the life-course. Although sex offending continuity and post-release recidivism has been independently assessed in prior research, the potential link between sex offending continuity and post-release recidivism has yet to be investigated. Using data collected at two different time points from a sample of sex offenders who served a prison sentence for an adult sex offense, the present study examines the prevalence of sex offending continuity, and its potential linkages with subsequent sex and general recidivism as well as identifying risk factors related to these outcomes. The multivariate results indicate a low rate of sex offending continuity in general but suggest the presence of identifiable risk factors that predict sex offending continuity. Specifically, non-sexual juvenile offending is the most notable of the numerous risk factors found to be associated with those displaying sex offending continuity from adolescence into adulthood. Subsequent analyses also reveal a significant association between sex offending continuity and sexual recidivism but not general recidivism. Policy implications, study limitations, and directions for future research are also discussed.

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Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 69%

Examining the Continuity of Juvenile Sex Offending Into Adulthood and Subsequent Patterns of Sex and General Recidivism

Beaudry‐Cyr

Jennings

Zgoba

et al. 2016

Int J Offender Ther Comp Criminol

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show abstract

“…Broadhurst and Maller (1990), for example, only controlled for race. Broadhurst and Loh (2003) controlled for race, sex, age and whether or not the offender had a prior criminal record but not the index offence. To be fair, neither of these studies set out to evaluate the effectiveness of parole.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Does parole supervision reduce the risk of re-offending?

Wan

Poynton

Weatherburn

2016

Australian & New Zealand Journal of Criminology

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Although a large number of offenders are released to parole each year, little is known about the effectiveness of parole supervision in reducing re-offending. The few studies that have been conducted provide mixed results and, for the most part, have been unable to rule out the possibility of selection bias. The present study is the first to evaluate the effectiveness of parole supervision using propensity score matching techniques. It compares two groups of offenders, carefully matched in terms of factors likely to affect re-offending but differing in terms of whether they are supervised. The results suggest that parole supervision does reduce the risk of re-offending.

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“…For example, indecent exposure can highlight the build-up to a more serious sexual offence. Hence, to provide for targeted treatment outcome measurements and to study specificity and escalation of re-offending behaviour, specified outcome criteria such as tbs meriting and special recidivism, are required (Bradford et al, 2013;Broadhurst & Loh, 2003).…”

Section: Meso-levelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Methodological development of the Hoeven Outcome Monitor (HOM): A first step towards a more evidence based medicine in forensic mental health

Keune

Vogel

Marle

2016

International Journal of Law and Psychiatry

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The probabilities of sex offender re‐arrest

Abstract: Actuarial risk assessments for low-probability high-consequence events such as dangerous recidivism are useful for identifying groups with a high probability of rearrest, assisting management of these groups and evaluating penal interventions.

Cited by 25 publications

References 41 publications

Examining the Continuity of Juvenile Sex Offending Into Adulthood and Subsequent Patterns of Sex and General Recidivism

Examining the Continuity of Juvenile Sex Offending Into Adulthood and Subsequent Patterns of Sex and General Recidivism

Does parole supervision reduce the risk of re-offending?

Methodological development of the Hoeven Outcome Monitor (HOM): A first step towards a more evidence based medicine in forensic mental health

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