The opportunity cost of land use and the global potential for greenhouse gas mitigation in agriculture and forestry

Golub, Alla; Hertel, Thomas W.; Lee, Huey-Lin; Rose, Steven K.; Sohngen, Brent

doi:10.1016/j.reseneeco.2009.04.007

Cited by 152 publications

(101 citation statements)

References 29 publications

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“…Hertel et al (2008) and Golub et al (2009) introduce land heterogeneity and competition in their CGE model by changing functional forms of production and demand for land-using sectors. They distinguish between carbon sequestration resulting from forest intensification (timber management) and that derived from forest extensification (land use change), both calibrated according to the GTM sectoral forestry model (Sohngen-Mendelsohn, 2003).…”

Section: Modelling Land Competition and Land Use Change In A General mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…They derive the steady-state equilibrium values for the rotation period and forest carbon for different carbon price levels. In Golub et al (2009) an interesting 7 attempt to model the dynamics of forest-carbon flows within a recursive-dynamic CGE model is provided. However, a number of complications lead them to couple their CGE with the GTM model of Sohngen-Mendelsohn (2007).…”

Section: Modelling Land Competition and Land Use Change In A General mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Improving Land-Use Modelling within CGE to Assess Forest-Based Mitigation Potential and Costs

Michetti

Parrado

2012

SSRN Journal

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SummaryWe present a computable general equilibrium model properly modified to analyse the potential role of the European forestry sector within climate mitigation. Improvements on database and modelling frameworks allow accounting for land heterogeneity across and within regions and for land transfers between agriculture, grazing, and forestry. The forestry sector has been modified to track carbon mitigation potential from both intensive and extensive forest margins, which have been calibrated according to a forest sectoral model. Two sets of climate policies are simulated. In a first scenario, Europe is assumed to commit unilaterally to reduce CO2 emissions by 20% and 30%, by 2020. In a second scenario, in addition to the emissions quotas, progressively higher forest sequestration subsidies are paid to European firms to foster the implementation of forestry practices. Results show that including forest carbon in the compliance strategy decreases European policy costs and carbon price, while it does not lead to significant reductions in carbon leakage. We conclude that while European forests can reinforce other mitigation measures, their contribution as a stand-alone abatement strategy results insufficient to comply with emissions reduction targets. Additionally, carbon sinks provided by European temperate forests do not offer considerable mitigation potential if compared with other forest biomes around the world. A much higher forest mitigation would require other regions to take part in a climate stabilization agreement, especially those where old-growth forests exist. Keywords AbstractWe present a computable general equilibrium model properly modified to analyse the potential role of the European forestry sector within climate mitigation. Improvements on database and modelling frameworks allow accounting for land heterogeneity across and within regions and for land transfers between agriculture, grazing, and forestry. The forestry sector has been modified to track carbon mitigation potential from both intensive and extensive forest margins, which have been calibrated according to a forest sectoral model. Two sets of climate policies are simulated. In a first scenario, Europe is assumed to commit unilaterally to reduce CO 2 emissions of 20% and 30%, by 2020. In a second scenario, in addition to the emissions quotas, progressively higher forestsequestration subsidies are paid to European firms to foster the implementation of forestry practices. Results show that including forest carbon in the compliance strategy decreases European policy costs and carbon price, while it does not lead to significant reductions in carbon leakage. We conclude that while European forests can reinforce other mitigation measures, their contribution as a stand-alone abatement strategy results insufficient to comply with emissions reduction targets. Additionally, carbon sinks provided by European temperate forests do not offer considerable mitigation potential if compared with other forest biomes around the world. A much higher forest...

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Section: Modelling Land Competition and Land Use Change In A General mentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Modelling Land Competition and Land Use Change In A General mentioning

confidence: 99%

Improving Land-Use Modelling within CGE to Assess Forest-Based Mitigation Potential and Costs

Michetti

Parrado

2012

SSRN Journal

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“…A general result is that including non-CO 2 GHG like CH 4 and N 2 O results in substantially lower mitigation cost compared to restricting GHG mitigation to CO 2 . A more recent example for a CGE analysis of mitigation options in the agricultural and forestry sectors is provided by Golub et al 2009. Using a global model that includes opportunity costs of land use, the authors find that livestock and paddy rice methane mitigation strategies are preferable agriculture-related GHG mitigation options.…”

Section: Different Approaches For B/c Assessmentsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Mitigation of Methane Emissions: A Rapid and Cost-Effective Response to Climate Change

Kemfert

Schill

2009

SSRN Journal

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“…Following a sustainable development approach, in line with greenhouse gas emissions reductions, a comprehensive emissions-reduction strategy that integrates emissions from all land-based economic sectors is necessary [16]. While emissions reduction strategies are likely to vary from country to country, without tackling emissions from all land-based economic sectors, climate policy discussions, such as the REDD+ readiness discussions in Cameroon, run the risk of not delivering an equitable climate regime [17].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Comparative Multi-Criteria Assessment of Climate Policies and Sustainable Development Strategies in Cameroon: Towards a GIS Decision-Support Tool for the Design of an Optimal REDD+ Strategy

2014

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Abstract:Cameroon is committed to reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation plus conservation, sustainable management of forests and enhancement of carbon stocks (REDD+). To achieve this goal, the government has introduced a series of policy reforms and formulated a number of key strategic planning documents to advance the REDD+ readiness process in Cameroon. This paper assesses the extent to which major cross-sectoral policies support or impede the development and implementation of an optimal REDD+ strategy in Cameroon from a comparative multi-criteria perspective. Study results reveal that a majority of the policy instruments reviewed appeared to be less prescriptive in terms of any tangible REDD+ strategy, as they do not have provisions for tangible measures to reduce deforestation and forest degradation. Given the lack of adequate flexibility, prompt review and responsiveness of these cross-sectoral policies to adapt themselves to new realities and respond to a changing environment, this paper introduces a GIS-REDD+ decision support system (GIS-REDD+DSS) that is necessary to support the adaptive element of an adaptive REDD+ strategy in Cameroon. The OPEN ACCESSSustainability 2014, 6 6126 GIS-REDD+DSS, an electronic REDD+agri intermediary hub, serves the following purpose: (1) host a database of locally-relevant climate information, improved input technologies, best practices as well as land use and forest cover geo-spatial maps; (2) host a virtual economic tool that performs economic valuations (costs and benefits) and financial analysis of REDD+agri projects to aid investment decision-making; and (3) host an electronic marketplace to mediate any-to-any transactions among REDD+agri project developers, service providers, input suppliers, private and institutional investors and buyers (wholesalers and retailers), thereby creating value in two ways: aggregation and matching. This decision support tool, we argue, is a fundamental prerequisite for "policy and REDD+ safeguard integration" innovation that allows new scientific findings to be integrated into REDD+ strategies in a short period of time.

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The opportunity cost of land use and the global potential for greenhouse gas mitigation in agriculture and forestry

Cited by 152 publications

References 29 publications

Improving Land-Use Modelling within CGE to Assess Forest-Based Mitigation Potential and Costs

Improving Land-Use Modelling within CGE to Assess Forest-Based Mitigation Potential and Costs

Mitigation of Methane Emissions: A Rapid and Cost-Effective Response to Climate Change

Comparative Multi-Criteria Assessment of Climate Policies and Sustainable Development Strategies in Cameroon: Towards a GIS Decision-Support Tool for the Design of an Optimal REDD+ Strategy

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