The nationalization of electoral change in the Americas

Alemán, Eduardo; Kellam, Marisa

doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2007.10.005

Cited by 36 publications

(22 citation statements)

References 26 publications

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“…It uses random draws from parameter estimates to generate a distribution of predicted vote shares for each party across elections, conditional on the district-level outcome in the previous election. The slope coefficient captures the extent to which partisan support persists between elections, while the national swing is the difference between the expected vote share in the current election and the actual prior mean (Alemán and Kellam, 2008;. The components-of-variance model (Morgenstern and Potthoff, 2005;Morgenstern et al, 2009;Mustillo and Jung, 2016) decomposes a party's district-level vote share from two or more elections into variance between elections and variation between districts.…”

Section: Aggregate-level Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Decentralization and electoral swings

Lago

Blais

2019

Regional Studies

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We explore how the uniformity of electoral swings in the district vote within countries is affected by the level of economic and political decentralization. We rely on district-level data from OECD countries in two consecutive elections before and after the Great Recession to show that as regional governments exert more influence over the central government, districts deviate less from the overall pattern of change in support of the national incumbent party. The causal mechanism accounting for the effect of decentralization on dynamic nationalization is examined with individual panel data from national elections in Canada and Spain.

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Section: Aggregate-level Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Decentralization and electoral swings

Lago

Blais

2019

Regional Studies

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“…Consequently, peripheral electorates have been integrated into national political life and territorially segmented party systems have turned into national electoral constellations. Others (mostly from a country-specific and/or cross-sectional perspective) have been more sceptical, either rejecting nationalisation or emphasizing contingent variation therein (Jones & Mainwaring, 2003;Morgenstern & Swindle, 2005;Alemán & Kellam, 2008).…”

Section: Local Party System Nationalisation: Towards a Reconceptualismentioning

confidence: 99%

Fifty Shades of Rokkan? Reconceiving Local Party System Nationalisation in Belgium

Steyvers

Heyerick²

2017

HKJU-CCPA

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U radu se istražuje nacionalizacija lokalne politike u belgijskom kontekstu. Problematici se pristupa detaljnije od tradicionalne podjele stranaka na nacionalne i nenacionalne, te se izvode tri glavna zaključka. Prvo na temelju analize vertikalne autonomije stranaka možemo zaključiti da postoje četiri podtipa liste: državne, pseudodržavne, pseudolokalne i nezavisne lokalne liste. Podjela sudionika posljednjih dvaju krugova belgijskih lokalnih izbora na navedena četiri podtipa pokazuje da prevladavaju, što se belgijskih općina tiče, liste koje su makar neizravno povezane s državnom strankom (čak i kada nemaju državni predznak). Nadalje, ova se tipologija koristi kako bi se procijenila nacionalizacija lokacijski ograničenog skupa stranaka. Razvijeni su indeksi nacionalizacije lokalne politike koji pokazuju omjer između navedenih podtipova u izbornoj i u parlamentarnoj areni. Rezultati upućuju na to da je riječ o relativnoj, a ne o potpunoj nacionalizaciji lokalnog političkog sustava. Nacionalizacija je izraženija u slučaju lokalnih vijeća nego lokalnih izbora. Konačno, u radu se nastoji objasniti varijacija u nacionalizaciji lokalnog političkog sustava razmatranjem zajedničkog učinka varijabli lokacijski ograničene društvene morfologije i političke ekologije. Binarna logistička regresija pokazuje da je politička ekologija (češće) važnija od društvene morfologije (predvidljivija je u slučaju parlamentarnog indeksa nego u slučaju izbornoga). Javljaju se i drugi učinci. Morfološki faktori ne utječu znatno na vjerojatnost da će doći do nacionalizacije izbornoga lokalnog političkog sustava, no pojedini morfološki faktori ipak utječu na nacionalizaciju parlamentarnoga lokalnog političkog sustava. Nadalje, isti ekološki faktori utječu na nacionalizaciju kako izbornog tako i parlamentarnog lokalnog političkog sustava. Tu je izražena važnost dotadašnjeg razvojnog puta i prethodnih odabira (path dependance) koji utječu na nacionalizaciju lokalne politike. Ipak, varijacija u velikoj mjeri ostaje naobjašnjena, što je povezano s ograničenjima kvantitativnog pristupa usmjerenoga na učinak vanjskih utjecaja na nacionalizaciju lokalne politike. Kako bi se postiglo cjelovito razumijevanje, valja proučiti interakciju s unutarnjim stranačkim odlukama. Buduća se istraživanja također trebaju usmjeriti na komparativnu primjenu rezultata - u kojoj je mjeri i u kojim uvjetima moguća.

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“…In the US, nationalization was the main subject of the protracted and fertile partisan realignment debate (elegantly discussed in Mayhew 2000) and a key ingredient explaining policy by responsible parties (Miller andStokes 1962, 1963). More recently, research on the effect of majoritarian electoral rules on party system fragmentation has motivated a series of comparative studies on the determinants of party system nationalization (Alemán and Kellam 2008;Caramani 2004;Chhibber and Kollman 1998;Chhibber and Kollman 2004;Cox 1999;Jones and Mainwaring 2003;Leiras 2006; Morgenstern, Swindle, and Cas-Arguably, the nationalization of party competition (and collaboration) counts as one of the most studied theoretical problems in the voting literature. The nationalization of parties' vote has been considered a prominent feature of modern electoral competition (Ziblatt 2009;Lipset and Rokkan 1967) and its absence arguably the culprit of a number of political ills such as inefficient policy implementation, substandard provision of public services, and clientelism ; Lago-Peñas and Lago--Peñas 2009).…”

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confidence: 99%

The Nationalization of Legislative Collaboration: Territory, Partisanship, and Policymaking in Argentina

Calvo

Leiras

2012

RIEL

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1. This paper analyzes the nationalization of collaborative policy efforts among lawmakers in Argentina. In doing so, we distinguish the nationalization of electoral competition and the nationalization of a legislator's policy intent. To measure the nationalization of legislative efforts, we assess the degree to which legislators collaborate with members of their party and members of their district in the drafting of legislative initiatives. We interpret the density of cosponsorship networks as indicative of legislative collaboration among legislators and estimate exponential random graph models (ERGM) to explain the partisan and territorial determinants of collaboration over a 25-year period. A study of 130,000 legislative initiatives proposed to the Argentine Congress from 1984 to 2007 shows district and partisan effects becoming more prominent over time. We also show that district and partisan effects are more pronounced at higher thresholds of cosponsorship collaboration.

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The nationalization of electoral change in the Americas

Cited by 36 publications

References 26 publications

Decentralization and electoral swings

Decentralization and electoral swings

Fifty Shades of Rokkan? Reconceiving Local Party System Nationalisation in Belgium

The Nationalization of Legislative Collaboration: Territory, Partisanship, and Policymaking in Argentina

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