The legend about sailing ship effects – Is it true or false? The example of cleaner propulsion technologies diffusion in the automotive industry

Sick, Nathalie; Nienaber, Ann‐Marie; Liesenkötter, Bernd; Stein, Nicole vom; Schewe, Gerhard; Leker, Jens

doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.07.085

Cited by 35 publications

(13 citation statements)

References 71 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Additionally, technologies that are less-expensive replacements for existing technologies (e.g., LED light bulb) diffuse faster than those that provide new and additional services (e.g., the first light bulb). Competition between the new technology and the old technology can also slow diffusion of the new technology by spurring innovation in the old technology, as may have occurred with sailboats began competing with steamships (Sick et al 2016). This may occur if or when costs of ownership for electric vehicles approach or become lower than those of internal combustion vehicles.…”

Section: A History Of Past Energy Transitionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Electrification Futures Study: Scenarios of Electric Technology Adoption and Power Consumption for the United States

et al. 2018

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

This report is one in a series of Electrification Futures Study (EFS) publications. The EFS is a multi-year research project to explore potential widespread electrification in the future energy system of the United States. Electrification is defined as the substitution of electricity for direct combustion of non-electricity-based fuels (e.g., gasoline and natural gas) used to provide similar services.The EFS is specifically designed to examine electric technology advancement and adoption for end uses in all major economic sectors as well as electricity consumption growth and load profiles, future power system infrastructure development and operations, and the economic and environmental implications of electrification. Because of the expansive scope and the multi-year duration of the study, research findings and supporting data will be published as a series of reports, with each report released on its own timeframe. The table below shows the various research topics planned for examination under the EFS and how this report fits with the other components of the study. Topic Relation to this Report Electric technology cost and performance projections Provides technology data used in this report (Jadun et al. 2017) Electrification demand-side adoption scenarios This report Electric system supply-side scenarios Relies on electricity consumption reported in this report Electricity consumption patterns Relies on technology adoption projections reported in this report Electric system operations Relies on the consumption patterns and supplyside scenarios from other reports, which rely on data from this report Impacts assessment Relies on the technology adoption projections in this report along with data from other reportsThis report is the second publication in this series and presents scenarios of electric end-use technology adoption and resulting electricity consumption in the United States. The scenarios reflect a wide range of electricity demand growth through 2050 that result from various electric technology adoption and efficiency projections in the transportation, residential and commercial buildings, and industrial sectors. The report describes the methodology, assumptions, and limitations of the analysis. The demand scenarios provided in this report will be used to inform the supply scenarios and impacts to be presented in future reports under the EFS project. Results from the current demand-side scenarios can also be used by other researchers who wish to explore implications of electrification and demand growth in the U.S. economy.More information, the supporting data associated with this report, links to other reports in the EFS study, and information about the broader study are available at www.nrel.gov/efs. vi

show abstract

Section: A History Of Past Energy Transitionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Electrification Futures Study: Scenarios of Electric Technology Adoption and Power Consumption for the United States

et al. 2018

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…New technologies are developed and coexist with incumbent ones before they are replaced. These can include, for instance, technologies ranging from sailing ships to steamships and from transportation relying on horsepower to automobiles in the transport sector (Geels 2002;Sick et al 2016;van Bree et al 2010).…”

Section: Multi-level Perspective Framework To Disentangle Sustainablementioning

confidence: 99%

Multi-Level Perspective to Facilitate Sustainable Transitions — A Pathway for German Oems Towards Electric Vehicles

Krätzig

Franzkowiak

Sick

2019

Int. J. Innov. Mgt.

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Sustainable transitions within industrial branches are a complex problem since they involve emerging technologies, as well as cultural, market and policy-related changes. Recent studies emphasise the need for analytical approaches that not only do justice to this complexity by reflecting relevant trends and determinants, but also reveal insights that are intuitive enough to be implemented without major effort. Aiming at addressing this trade-off, we pursue a strategic analytical procedure that links external factors from multi-level perspective and internal, company-specific dynamic capabilities. We draw on expert interviews and subsequent qualitative analytical evaluation to obtain insights regarding individual motives, visions and boundary conditions of actors from the German automotive industry. Our contribution is both conceptually and practically important, as it unveils manifestations of significant dynamic capabilities and provides recommendations for change managers and policy makers leading to successful, sustainable transition in the automotive industry.

show abstract

“…Howells (2002) notes that the sailing ship effect was identified retrospectively but the threat from the emerging technology was not a pre-requisite for the performance improvements of the incumbent. However, evidence from the automotive sector suggests that a sailing ship effect occurs as the industry responds to electro-mobility (Sick et al 2016). However, the incumbent technology can keep attracting investment even if it is technically inferior (Chari and Hopenhayn 1991).…”

Section: The Sailing Ship Effect and Technological Survivalmentioning

confidence: 99%

Is small really beautiful? A review of the concept of niches in innovation

Coles

Piterou

Sentić³

2017

Technology Analysis & Strategic Management

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Is small really beautiful? A review of the concept of niches in innovation This article reviews the concept of innovation niches through three categories: strategic niche management (SNM), specialised markets and niches formed as a technology declines. In the literature, innovation niches generate interest from both innovation and marketing perspectives. This review focuses predominately on the former from which the niche types have been adopted and analysed. Mostly, contributions since 1980 have been included, representing the period of academic interest in innovative small firms, while both temporal and locational filters were applied to the study. It is noted that SNM has been proposed as a means to protect potentially useful innovations from full market competition, while specialist niches supply technologies to few customers in more stable environments. Incumbent technologies at the stage of decline may also retreat to niches where they can still remain competitive. Finally, it is suggested that further research on innovation niches would extend our understanding of technology dynamics.

show abstract

The legend about sailing ship effects – Is it true or false? The example of cleaner propulsion technologies diffusion in the automotive industry

Cited by 35 publications

References 71 publications

Electrification Futures Study: Scenarios of Electric Technology Adoption and Power Consumption for the United States

Electrification Futures Study: Scenarios of Electric Technology Adoption and Power Consumption for the United States

Multi-Level Perspective to Facilitate Sustainable Transitions — A Pathway for German Oems Towards Electric Vehicles

Is small really beautiful? A review of the concept of niches in innovation

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About