The impacts of wind technology advancement on future global energy

Abstract

h i g h l i g h t sIntegrated assessment model perform a series of scenarios of technology advances. Explore the potential roles of wind energy technology advance in global energy. Technology advance impacts on energy consumption and global low carbon market. Technology advance influences on global energy security and stability. a r t i c l e i n f o b s t r a c tTo avoid additional global warming and environmental damage, energy systems need to rely on the use of low carbon technologies like wind energy. However, supply uncertainties, production costs, and energy security are the main factors considered by the global economies when reshaping their energy systems. Here, we explore the potential roles of wind energy technology advancement in future global electricity generations, costs, and energy security. We use an integrated assessment model performing a series of technology advancement scenarios. The results show that double of the capital cost reduction causes 40% of generation increase and 10% of cost decrease on average in the long-term global wind electricity market. Today's technology advancement could bring us the benefit of increasing electricity production in the future 40-50 years, and decreasing electricity cost in the future 90-100 years. The technology advancement of wind energy can help to keep global energy security and stability. An aggressive development and deployment of wind energy could in the long-term avoid 1/3 of gas and 1/28 of coal burned, and keep 1/2 biomass and 1/20 nuclear fuel saved from the global electricity system. The key is that wind resources are free and carbon-free. The results of this study are useful in broad coverage ranges from innovative technologies and systems of renewable energy to the economic industrial and domestic use of energy with no or minor impact on the environment.

Long-term implications of sustained wind power growth in the United States: Direct electric system impacts and costs

“…The existing literature has found that the size of the global (Marvel et al 2012) and U.S. (Lopez et al 2012) wind resource coupled with the increasing maturity of wind technology (Wiser et al 2011) might yield a robust role for wind energy (Barthelmie and Pryor 2014;Cochran et al 2014;IPCC 2014;Luderer et al 2014;Zhang et al 2016). Future wind deployment, however, can be strongly affected by the extent of continued wind energy cost reductions, the scale of greenhouse gas emission policies, competitiveness of other generation technologies, and other factors (IPCC 2014;Luderer et al 2014;Zhang et al 2016). Some of the scenario analysis literature focused specifically on future U.S. wind (MacDonald et al 2016, DOE 2008).…”

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