“…All three simulated scenarios are broadly consistent with the major, undisputed paleoecological evidence: (i) the human population was decimated by the diseases introduced by Europeans after 1722 AD (Diamond, 2005;Hunt, 2007) and around 1850 AD the size of the population was between 1500 and 3000 individuals (Flenley and Bahn, 2003); (i) the rat population was large and peaked right after the arrival of the Polynesian settlers when palm seeds were very abundant and rats had a negative, although non-quantifiable, effect on tree growth (Steadman et al, 1994;Diamond, 2005;Hunt, 2007;Meyer and Butaud, 2008;Mieth and Bork, 2010), (iii) people substantially reduced the number of palm trees on the island and intensified agriculture over time (Flenley et al, 1991;Stevenson et al, 2006;Mann et al, 2008;Mieth and Bork, 2010;Ladefoged et al, 2013). Despite being all compatible with the above points, the three simulated scenarios reveal clear differences from one another in terms of human, rat, and palm tree population dynamics and, consequently, also in deforestation patterns.…”