The impact of the export and import of raw logs on domestic timber supplies and prices.

Darr, David R.; Haynes, Richard W.; Adams, Darius M.

doi:10.2737/pnw-rp-277

Cited by 5 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 2 publications

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“…The three scenarios were a direct tradeoff between logs restrained and lumber export expanded: (1) no tradeoff-Japan would not substitute North American lumber for logs; (2) Japan would substitute Canadian but not U.S. lumber for the logs foregone; and (3) a mixed scenario in which Japan would fully offset with North American lumber, with half each from Canada and the United States but with no expansion of Northwest milling capacity. 424 Darr noted in 1980 that Portland, Oregon's, chamber of commerce had, in 1936, objected to the export of Port-Orford-cedar, which demonstrated a long history of opposition by some to timber trade. Reflecting on some trade-limiting proposals, he suggested that proponents consider six questions: How much of the log volume that would have been exported would instead be processed?…”

Section: Global Forestry Issues and International Tradementioning

confidence: 99%

Forest economics research at the Pacific Northwest Research Station, to 2000.

Flora¹

2003

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The contributions for over 80 years by scientists at the Pacific Northwest Research Station to developments in economic theory, economic tools, policies, and economic issues are summarized. This is a story of progressive accomplishments set against a constantly changing background of economic and social events.Keywords: Forest economics, forest policy, forest management, Pacific Northwest. Outlined here are PNW's 1 accomplishments in forest economics since the 1920s: contributions to theory, economic tools, and counsel to practicing foresters within and without the agency; and instances in which PNW's economics program made a difference to Western U.S. forestry. The format is roughly chronological. Every scientist and most publications will be mentioned, but the real intent is to portray the evolution of ideas, economic tools, and policy and economic issues to which they were applied. This is a story built on four forests. Any forester whose working life started in the 1950s at a far corner of the Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco) region will have worked among the last of the old growth, measuring trees 10 feet and more in diameter. By then the harvest of the second growth, seeded during logging in the last decades of the 19th century, was well underway. In 2000 it is virtually finished. The triumphs of fire and insect control, the pride of occasional bursts of intensive silviculture, the regrets of over-or under-investment in woods things, all have passed with those mellow, fulsome stands. Trees planted in the 1950s and after are now moving down the highways, 20 and 40 to the truckload. This third forest is the product of myriad economic decisions made and economic events experienced. Even to hold forest land has been an act of economic faith, subject to revision at any time. The fourth forest is outside the door, growing. What will become of it is being influenced by new economic conditions, new information, and new views of the future. That is the stuff of forest economics research.The state of the art in resource economics seemingly depends on a disorderly mix of work done to date, strong personalities, fortuitous meanders, directed effort, treks along arcane technical lines, economic pressures, and screaming land-use conflicts. This section does not deal with what we knew when but, rather, with the changing world around us over eight decades.Although federal forestry studies had been underway in the Northwest for some time, PNW was formally commissioned in 1924, a product of politics and persuasion, history and economics. The 1920s blew in as 6 billion board feet of timber blew down in western Washington, and the Capper Report 2 appeared, both of which argued for research. The windstorm of 1921 generated economic questions of utilization, marketing, and export possibilities. The 1920 Capper Report was a Forest Service response to claims of overcutting on industry lands and to a call for regulation. No less than Gifford Pinchot favored corralling cutting in private forests. William B. Greele...

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Section: Global Forestry Issues and International Tradementioning

confidence: 99%

Forest economics research at the Pacific Northwest Research Station, to 2000.

Flora¹

2003

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“…Expanding lumber production was predicted to lead to greater Canadian gains from trade, especially after forest managers accessed untapped timber resources and used more intensive timber management strategies. Projections estimated that Canadian softwood lumber output would double to 22 billion board feet from 1975 to 2000 (Darr et al 1980). By the end of the 1970s, U.S. imports of Canadian lumber had doubled.…”

Section: Us Dollars (Billions)mentioning

confidence: 99%

The rise and fall of the Pacific Northwest log export market.

Daniels¹

2005

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Measuring the Value of Softwood Log Exports: Evidence from Oregon

Rossi

Zhai

Kuusela

2021

Journal of Forestry

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Oregon softwood log exports experienced a resurgence during years after the Great Recession. Using an empirically grounded partial equilibrium model, the purpose of this study is to assess the net effects of log exports on total economic surplus by measuring the effects of a hypothetical absence of export markets from 2010:Q1 to 2015:Q4. Based on our modeling results, the net economic losses would have amounted to $248 million during the study period in total. Oregon mills would have gained $1.66 billion in total, whereas landowners would have lost $1.91 billion in total had there not been export markets. Furthermore, additional losses would have occurred from the forgone export premium. Our modeling results suggest that harvests would have been 1.97 billion board feet lower in the absence of export markets. However, Oregon mills would have used an additional 3.0 billion board feet. We also provide estimates for potential employment effects. Study Implications The purpose of our study is to compute how much Oregon mills would have gained from the absence of export competition during the six years after the Great Recession and how much landowners would have lost if they did not have the opportunity to export softwood logs. We also assess how many additional jobs domestic mills would have sustained and how many jobs would have disappeared from logging and transportation activities if exports were absent. Our results inform policymakers and stakeholders about the net benefits of softwood log exports in Oregon, as well as about the distributional consequences of exports.

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The impact of the export and import of raw logs on domestic timber supplies and prices.

Abstract: This file was created by scanning the printed publication. Mis-scans identified by the software have been corrected; however, some errors may remain

Cited by 5 publications

References 2 publications

Forest economics research at the Pacific Northwest Research Station, to 2000.

Forest economics research at the Pacific Northwest Research Station, to 2000.

The rise and fall of the Pacific Northwest log export market.

Measuring the Value of Softwood Log Exports: Evidence from Oregon

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