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2021
DOI: 10.3390/su132212370
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The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Global Value Chain of the Manufacturing Industry

Abstract: This paper adopts the GDYN model to estimate the dynamic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global manufacturing industry and the value chain. Our simulation finds that (1) In the short run, the low-tech manufacturing industries will suffer greater shocks, with a decline of output growth in 2021 by 6.0%. The growth rate of the high-tech manufacturing industry showed an increasing trend of 3.7% in 2021. (2) In the post-epidemic period, the total manufacturing output will return to the baseline level, from which… Show more

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Cited by 16 publications
(13 citation statements)
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“…The period covered is 2010-2020, excluding the years of the global financial crisis, but including the pandemic year. According to Sun et al [19], who estimated the dynamic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global manufacturing industry, the lowtech manufacturing industries will suffer massive shocks in the short run, while some high-tech manufacturing sectors will see a growth trend.…”
Section: Data and Research Methodologymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The period covered is 2010-2020, excluding the years of the global financial crisis, but including the pandemic year. According to Sun et al [19], who estimated the dynamic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global manufacturing industry, the lowtech manufacturing industries will suffer massive shocks in the short run, while some high-tech manufacturing sectors will see a growth trend.…”
Section: Data and Research Methodologymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Third, the COVID-19 epidemic led to a decline in investment. Faced with the downward pressure on economic performance and the increased uncertainty in the financial market ( 66 ), investors chose their investments more cautiously ( 67 ). As a result, the demand for investment decreased.…”
Section: Covid-19's Impact On Digital Economymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Strategies for wider recovery of the manufacturing system post-Covid-19 were suggested. Sun et al (2021) use the global dynamic general equilibrium model to simulate and examine the dynamic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on the manufacturing industries output and global value chain. Butt (2021a) carried out an empirical study of the countermeasures taken by the manufacturing industries of the UAE to mitigate the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic.…”
Section: Manufacturing Barriers Due Tomentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Strategies for wider recovery of the manufacturing system post-Covid-19 were suggested. Sun et al. (2021) use the global dynamic general equilibrium model to simulate and examine the dynamic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on the manufacturing industries output and global value chain.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%