2011
DOI: 10.1007/s00484-011-0419-4
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The impact of climate on Leptospirosis in São Paulo, Brazil

Abstract: In this work, we correlate the daily number of human leptospirosis cases with several climatic factors. We used a negative binomial model that considers hospital daily admissions due to leptospirosis as the dependent variable, and the climatic variables of daily precipitation pattern, and maximum and minimum temperature as independent variables. We calculated the monthly leptospirosis admission probabilities from the precipitation and maximum temperature variables. The month of February showed the highest prob… Show more

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Cited by 40 publications
(29 citation statements)
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“…Nevertheless, they emphasized that the oscillation of the number of cases is not only determined by rainfall, since other factors influence this dynamic, such as sanitation, in addition to environmental and social factors. Another study [21] indicated that for every 20 mm precipitation, there was an average increase of 31.5% in hospital admissions in Sao Paulo. A different group of researchers [22] reported in Sao Paulo that in the rainy season, it also increases in other districts, probably due to the proximity of rivers and streams while in the dry season, the localities where cases appear coincide with the areas of poorest housing conditions.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Nevertheless, they emphasized that the oscillation of the number of cases is not only determined by rainfall, since other factors influence this dynamic, such as sanitation, in addition to environmental and social factors. Another study [21] indicated that for every 20 mm precipitation, there was an average increase of 31.5% in hospital admissions in Sao Paulo. A different group of researchers [22] reported in Sao Paulo that in the rainy season, it also increases in other districts, probably due to the proximity of rivers and streams while in the dry season, the localities where cases appear coincide with the areas of poorest housing conditions.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The incidence of leptospirosis in humans is affected by rainfall, particularly in tropical regions [81-83]. In Reunion Island, cases of leptospirosis are reported all year round, but epidemics mostly occur during the rainy season [26,28,31,84].…”
Section: Clinical Presentation Of Leptospirosis and Epidemiologicamentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Increased rainfall leads to increased human exposure [8] through both increased survival of the bacteria in the environment and increased exposure of humans to surface water [9]. Extreme climatic events and floods have frequently been associated with leptospirosis outbreaks [10][12].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%