1995
DOI: 10.1126/science.269.5222.347
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The Future of Biodiversity

Abstract: Recent extinction rates are 100 to 1000 times their pre-human levels in well-known, but taxonomically diverse groups from widely different environments. If all species currently deemed "threatened" become extinct in the next century, then future extinction rates will be 10 times recent rates. Some threatened species will survive the century, but many species not now threatened will succumb. Regions rich in species found only within them (endemics) dominate the global patterns of extinction. Although new techno… Show more

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Cited by 1,897 publications
(1,272 citation statements)
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References 24 publications
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“…The average extinction rate for marine organisms in the fossil record is 0.1 to 1 extinctions per million species-years (E/MSY), and extinction rates of mammals in the fossil record also fall within this range (Pimm et al, 1995;Mace et al 2005). Accelerated species loss is increasingly likely to compromise the biotic capacity of ecosystems to sustain their current functioning under novel environmental and biotic circumstances (Walker et al 1999).…”
Section: Biodiversity Lossmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The average extinction rate for marine organisms in the fossil record is 0.1 to 1 extinctions per million species-years (E/MSY), and extinction rates of mammals in the fossil record also fall within this range (Pimm et al, 1995;Mace et al 2005). Accelerated species loss is increasingly likely to compromise the biotic capacity of ecosystems to sustain their current functioning under novel environmental and biotic circumstances (Walker et al 1999).…”
Section: Biodiversity Lossmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Consequently, the human foot-print can be seen in marine and terrestrial ecosystems throughout the globe . Conservation biologists are concerned about anthropogenic changes like increased land-use, because they are an important driver of the rapidly increasing rate of biodiversity decline (Pimm et al 1995, Sala et al 2000, Butchart et al 2010. We humans are also dependent on the various life-supporting functions of ecosystems.…”
Section: Ecological Restorationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…While species extinctions and extirpations have long been attributed to habitat loss, climate change, invasive species, and overharvesting (Pimm, Russell, Gittleman, & Brooks, 1995; Wilcove, Rothstein, Dubow, Phillips, & Losos, 1998), only lately have we considered infectious diseases, which can interact with these other threats, as a force that can shape biodiversity (Smith, Sax, & Lafferty, 2006; Wilcove et al., 1998). Recently, rates and severity of infectious disease outbreaks have increased (Daszak, Cunningham, & Hyatt, 2000; Jones et al., 2008; Smith, Acevedo‐Whitehouse, & Pedersen, 2009) across taxa (Daszak et al., 1999; Martel et al., 2013; McCallum & Jones, 2006), prompting an urgent need to explore the effects that pathogens can have on biodiversity by evaluating the responses of hosts to pathogen across varying environmental conditions.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%