The Factors’ Analysis of Influencing the Development of Digital Trade in the Leading Countries

Kovtoniuk, Kateryna; Molchanova, Ellana; Dluhopolskyi, Oleksandr; Weigang, Ganna; Piankova, Oksana; Demkiv, Y.

doi:10.1109/acit52158.2021.9548451

Cited by 3 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…Such trends are exacerbated by unexpected developments such as wars, pandemics and other major crises. Solutions are sought and explored in a variety of industrial and academic settings, including engineering, social sciences, management, political science, and computer science [9][10][11]. From the point of view of this article, this is an additional topic of Industry 4.0 and, more specifically, environmental sustainability in the working environment.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Migration Influence on the Forecasting of Health Care Budget Expenditures in the Direction of Sustainability: Case of Ukraine

et al. 2022

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The start of the full-scale Russian-Ukrainian war caused the largest wave of migration in the 21st century. More than five million Ukrainian citizens left for EU countries within a few months of the start of the conflict. The purpose of this paper is to forecast the level of health care expenditure in Ukraine for 2023–2024, considering the scale of migration and the fall in the level of GDP. The authors propose three scenarios for the development of Ukraine’s economy in 2023–2024, taking into account changes in the age structure of the population, migration, and the amount of health care expenditure: (1) Pessimistic, in which economic growth will resume only in 2024, with a GDP rise of 5.6%, provided that the war concludes at the end of 2022. Under this scenario, inflation will be about 21% in 2023–2024, a slight decrease compared with the previous year. Some 12% of the population of Ukraine will have emigrated, resulting in a corresponding 12% drop in health care expenditure in 2023–2024. (2) Basic (realistic), in which economic growth will be about 5% in 2023–2024, inflation will be under 10%, and migration will have accounted for 5% of the country’s population. Under this scenario, there will be an increase in health care expenditure of more than 40% in 2023–2024. (3) Optimistic, according to which rapid economic growth is expected in 2023–2024, inflation will not exceed 7%, the majority of those who left Ukraine in the early months of the war will return, and health care expenditure will increase by more than 70% in 2023–2024. The methodology of forecasting public expenditure on health care has been based on a six-step cohort method. The results have indicated that the cost of updating the age structure of Ukraine’s population every year will decrease due to the aging of the population, and the overall impact of demographic processes will be negative. The impact of mass migration due to the war creates a significant change in health care costs, requiring administrative bodies to monitor the situation promptly and make appropriate changes to the structure of budget expenditure.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Migration Influence on the Forecasting of Health Care Budget Expenditures in the Direction of Sustainability: Case of Ukraine

et al. 2022

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“…Barun et al ( 2019 ) confirm that the number of people who have access to ICT, thus acquired competencies and skills which boost innovation capacity, plays an important role in the development of the digital economy in the Republic of Belarus. Kovtoniuk et al ( 2021 ) analyzed the main factors influencing the development of digital trade in the United States, the United Kingdom, and China, indicating that the number of network servers and the share of the population using the Internet have a positive effect on the volume of digital trade, while the degree of protection of intellectual property rights has a negative effect. In addition, this study confirms that the largest digital trade growth rate will occur in China, but the most positive economic effects will be realized in the United States.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Development and Influencing Factors of International Trade in Digitally Deliverable Services

Zhi

Song

et al. 2022

Front. Psychol.

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IntroductionInternational trade in digitally deliverable services has been developing rapidly in recent years, especially during pandemics. However, the growth rate and scale differ among regions and countries. To promote the growth and bridge the divide of global trade in digitally deliverable services, we provide feasible policy suggestions in this paper.MethodsBased on panel data of 33 countries' digitally deliverable service trade from 2005 to 2020, this study analyzes the development trends and influencing factors of international trade in digital-global service trade.ResultsThe development of digitally deliverable services in developed countries is far ahead, while in emerging economies such as China and India, it is growing at a high speed. Digital infrastructure; human capital; and science, technology, and innovation capacity have a significant impact on the digitally deliverable trade of countries with the level of STI playing the most important influence. Further, heterogeneity analysis shows that human capital and STI capacity are more sensitive to the digitally deliverable trade of middle-income countries than to the impact of high-income countries, and the contribution of population in middle-income countries is more pronounced.ConclusionAs the proportion of digital trade in global trade continues to increase, the role of digital service trade in countries' sustainable development is becoming more prominent. To cope with such opportunities and challenges, countries, especially developing countries, should actively increase digital infrastructure construction, improve talent training, vigorously develop digital technology, and enhance their innovation capacity.

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Using Data Science Tools in E-Commerce: Client’s Advertising Campaigns vs. Sales of Enterprise Products

Zatonatska

Wołowiec

Dluhopolskyi

et al. 2023

Lecture Notes on Data Engineering and Communications Technologies

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The Factors’ Analysis of Influencing the Development of Digital Trade in the Leading Countries

Cited by 3 publications

References 4 publications

The Migration Influence on the Forecasting of Health Care Budget Expenditures in the Direction of Sustainability: Case of Ukraine

The Migration Influence on the Forecasting of Health Care Budget Expenditures in the Direction of Sustainability: Case of Ukraine

Development and Influencing Factors of International Trade in Digitally Deliverable Services

Using Data Science Tools in E-Commerce: Client’s Advertising Campaigns vs. Sales of Enterprise Products

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