The Estimable Functions of Age, Period and Generation Effects: A Political Application

Scappini, Ettore

doi:10.1007/s11135-005-3267-7

Cited by 6 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 32 publications

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“…There is a linear dependence between age, period and cohort whereby if two are known then so is the third (Mason and Fienberg, 1985;Rodgers, 1982). This collinearity means that the effects of each cannot be confidently known (Scappini, 2006). 12.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Explaining time trends in public opinion: Attitudes towards immigration and immigrants

Wilkes

Corrigall‐Brown

2010

International Journal of Comparative Sociology

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Why does public opinion change over time? Much debate on this question centers on whether it is caused by the replacement of people or by individuals changing how they think. Theoretical approaches to this question have emphasized the importance of birth cohort succession, generational differences, and changing macro-economic conditions. In this article, we consider the extent to which these processes can account for changing attitudes towards immigration and immigrants. We use a new approach to the study of time trends in public opinion to analyze over 20 years of data on attitudes in Canada. This approach uses multi-level analysis to split attitudinal change into its cohort and period components. We find that most attitude change is the result of changing macro-economic conditions. In contrast, birth cohort succession has little effect. While there is modest evidence of generational differences in attitudes, these differences do not comprise a major part of the overall trend.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Explaining time trends in public opinion: Attitudes towards immigration and immigrants

Wilkes

Corrigall‐Brown

2010

International Journal of Comparative Sociology

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“…Starting from equation 1, the three effects cannot be identified by survey data at one point in time, since one phenomenon would completely be determined by the remaining two. We are only able to overcome this identification problem by some form of constraint and the use of longitudinal data (Glenn 2005;Scappini 2006). By pooling several surveys taken at different points in time, we can observe the changes, which occur within specific generations over time and compare these to the differences between life-cycle stages.…”

Section: Neither Nor---the Life-long Learning Model Of Democratmentioning

confidence: 99%

Democracy in Transition: A Micro perspective on System Change in Post-Socialist Societies

Neundorf

2010

The Journal of Politics

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This paper examines how the system change following the collapse of socialism affected the political outlook of citizens by comparing the satisfaction with democracy among several generations of Eastern Europeans. I investigate whether people who were mainly influenced by a socialist upbringing have problems with adjusting to the circumstances of democratic regimes or, alternatively, whether the consolidation of democracy is driven by economic considerations. Using pooled cross-sectional data covering the period from 1990 to 2003, this study employs generalized additive models, which allow the separation of generational differences. The paper obtains strong support for the socialist socialization hypothesis, but also finds evidence that Eastern Europeans' assessment of the economic situation reduces the impact of generational differences on democratic support. This research provides important insights into the micro mechanisms underlying system change from authoritarian regimes to democracy.

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“…3 3 Despite weaker evidence generally for the validity of the party identification model outside the United States and the United Kingdom, there is nonetheless also some empirical support for the existence of political generations in Germany and Italy (Mattei et al. 1990; Scappini 2006; Goerres 2008). …”

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confidence: 99%

Political generations in Northern Ireland

Tilley

Evans²

2010

European Journal of Political Research

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Since the late 1980s, Northern Ireland has seen a radical electoral shift away from the historically dominant parties in the Catholic and Protestant blocs – the Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) and Ulster Unionist Party (UUP), respectively – towards the traditionally more ‘extreme’ parties – Sinn Fein and the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP). This change in aggregate support has been accompanied by increasing differences between generations as older cohorts of UUP and SDLP supporters have been replaced by newer cohorts of DUP and Sinn Fein partisans. This is not a result of increased polarisation in values and attitudes (whether overtly political or simply communal intolerance) among younger cohorts who are, if anything, slightly more moderate than their forbears. Rather, this results from the changing political context in which new generations have been socialised – in particular the expanded choice sets facing voters as they have reached voting age. This in turn has positive implications for the consolidation of devolved democratic governance.

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The Estimable Functions of Age, Period and Generation Effects: A Political Application

Abstract: electoral behaviour, life course, birth cohort, political generation, age-period-cohort analysis, logistic regression,

Cited by 6 publications

References 32 publications

Explaining time trends in public opinion: Attitudes towards immigration and immigrants

Explaining time trends in public opinion: Attitudes towards immigration and immigrants

Democracy in Transition: A Micro perspective on System Change in Post-Socialist Societies

Political generations in Northern Ireland

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