2021
DOI: 10.1186/s12876-021-01745-1
|View full text |Cite
|
Sign up to set email alerts
|

The emerging epidemic of inflammatory bowel disease in Asia and Iran by 2035: A modeling study

Abstract: Background The projection studies are imperative to satisfy demands for health care systems and proper response to the public health problems such as inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Methods To accomplish this, we established an illness-death model based on available data to project the future prevalence of IBD in Asia, Iran in particular, separately from 2017 to 2035. We applied two deterministic and stochastic approaches. … Show more

Help me understand this report

Search citation statements

Order By: Relevance

Paper Sections

Select...
4
1

Citation Types

0
19
0

Year Published

2021
2021
2023
2023

Publication Types

Select...
9
1

Relationship

0
10

Authors

Journals

citations
Cited by 37 publications
(24 citation statements)
references
References 27 publications
0
19
0
Order By: Relevance
“…Considering the huge population in Asian countries, including China and India, Asia alone might have a greater disease burden with IBD than that of the Western world in the near future. One modeling study from Iran expected a 1.5-fold increase in prevalence for East Asia with 4.5 million cases of IBD and quadrupling of the prevalence for India with 2.2 million cases of IBD in 2035, as compared to 2020 [ 38 ]. However, data should be interpreted with caution given the vast heterogeneity between the reported incidence rates among the Asian countries and regions within these countries, such as data of the ACCESS [ 4 , 30 , 36 , 37 ].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Considering the huge population in Asian countries, including China and India, Asia alone might have a greater disease burden with IBD than that of the Western world in the near future. One modeling study from Iran expected a 1.5-fold increase in prevalence for East Asia with 4.5 million cases of IBD and quadrupling of the prevalence for India with 2.2 million cases of IBD in 2035, as compared to 2020 [ 38 ]. However, data should be interpreted with caution given the vast heterogeneity between the reported incidence rates among the Asian countries and regions within these countries, such as data of the ACCESS [ 4 , 30 , 36 , 37 ].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The prevalence rates of IBD have a different geographic distribution, with high rates in Europe and North America and low rates in Asia [ 2 ]. It is important that an increase in the incidence of IBD and a decrease in the onset age up to childhood are observed [ 3 ].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The prevalence of IBD in North Africa and the Middle East is expected to increase by 2.3-fold between 2020 to 2035. 4 The prevalence of depression is higher among patients with chronic diseases than in the general population. Therefore, having a long-term medical illness is a risk factor for depression.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%