The effect of the Brexit Referendum Result on Subjective Well-being

Kavetsos, Georgios; Kawachi, Ichiro; Kyriopoulos, Ilias; Vandoros, Sotirios

doi:10.1111/rssa.12676

Cited by 23 publications

(30 citation statements)

References 67 publications

(109 reference statements)

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“…Our findings add to those of previous studies that suggest that economic uncertainty is associated with suicides in the UK [30] and the US. [31] They also add to a growing body of literature on the link between the short-term effects of uncertainty, bad financial news and events at the national level on health [17,28,29,[51][52][53].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 98%

Economic uncertainty and suicide in the United States

Vandoros

Kawachi

2021

Eur J Epidemiol

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Previous studies have found an association between recessions and increased rates of suicide. In the present study we widened the focus to examine the association between economic uncertainty and suicides. We used monthly suicide data from the US at the State level from 2000 to 2017 and combined them with the monthly economic uncertainty index. We followed a panel data econometric approach to study the association between economic uncertainty and suicide, controlling for unemployment and other indicators. Economic uncertainty is positively associated with suicide when controlling for unemployment [coeff: 8.026; 95% CI: 3.692–12.360] or for a wider range of economic and demographic characteristics [coeff: 7.478; 95% CI: 3.333–11.623]. An increase in the uncertainty index by one percent is associated with an additional 11–24.4 additional monthly suicides in the US. Economic uncertainty is likely to act as a trigger, which underlines the impulsive nature of some suicides. This highlights the importance of providing access to suicide prevention interventions (e.g. hotlines) during periods of economic uncertainty.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 98%

Economic uncertainty and suicide in the United States

Vandoros

Kawachi

2021

Eur J Epidemiol

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“…A DiD model compares trends in the outcome in the treatment group and a control group before and after a particular intervention, which is used extensively in the literature for causal inference. [8][9] In such empirical models, there is a treatment group dummy, which takes the value of 1 for the group that underwent a treatment; and a treatment period dummy, which takes the value of 1 for the time after the intervention. The interaction of the treatment group dummy and the treatment period dummy gives us the main variable of interest.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Covid-19: Early evening curfews are not effective and may backfire

Georganas

Velias

Vandoros

2021

Preprint

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Background: During the COVID-19 pandemic, some countries have introduced early evening curfews. Several studies try measure the effectiveness of such measures across different countries, but clear identification of effects is elusive. Objective: We examined the impact of an early evening curfew on mobility by studying a shift in curfews from 9pm to 6pm in Greece. Data and Methods: We took advantage of a natural experiment in Greece, where curfews shifted from 9pm to 6pm in one Region, but not in another. We followed a difference-in-difference econometric approach, where we compared trends in mobility in groceries and pharmacies as well as residential spaces before and after the introduction of the 6pm curfew, in the two regions. Results: The relative difference in the time spent in groceries and pharmacies between the two regions before and after the intervention, is statistically insignificant [coeff: -9.95; 95%CI -44.358 to 24.458]. The relative increase in time spent in groceries and pharmacies after the 6pm curfew was only 4.625 percentage points [coeff: 4.625; 95%CI 1.412 to 7.838]. Conclusions: We found that the 6pm instead of 9pm curfew in Athens led to a 4.63 percentage point relative increase in time spent at home and had no effect on time spent in groceries and pharmacies. Considering that this was a result of a 18.75% reduction in hours where people were allowed to leave home, it seems that the early evening curfew led to more crowding in indoor spaces; which may facilitate the spread of disease. Lockdowns and other measures are necessary to tackle Covid-19, but it is important to avoid substitution by activities that contribute further to spreading the virus. Interventions should therefore be based on a thorough analysis of human behaviour.

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“…Visually, wage patterns are similar before the intervention. Following Autor (2003) and Kavetsos et al (2020), we also estimate the following equation to establish the parallel trend observed in Figure 2:…”

Section: Test For Parallel Trend Assumptionmentioning

confidence: 99%