2002
DOI: 10.1002/fut.10021
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The effect of net positions by type of trader on volatility in foreign currency futures markets

Abstract: We investigate the effect of net positions by type of trader on return volatility in six foreign currency futures markets using the weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) data. When net positions are decomposed into expected and unexpected components, we find that expected net positions by type of trader generally do not co-vary with volatility. However, volatility is positively associated with shocks (in either direction) in net positions of speculators and small traders, and negatively related to shocks (in eit… Show more

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Cited by 67 publications
(65 citation statements)
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“…2 Some studies also examine the relation between volatility and trading by investor type in futures markets where daily data for trading by several investor groups is available (Bessembinder and Seguin, 1993;Daigler and Wiley, 1999;Wang, 2002). Our focus in this study is on stock markets.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…2 Some studies also examine the relation between volatility and trading by investor type in futures markets where daily data for trading by several investor groups is available (Bessembinder and Seguin, 1993;Daigler and Wiley, 1999;Wang, 2002). Our focus in this study is on stock markets.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There is evidence that documented a positive relation between volume and volatility for different stock index futures at different frequencies of data. (See, for example, Kawaller et al (1994), and Gannon (1995) for intraday data, and Raghunathan and Peker (1997), ap Gwilym et al (1999), Wang and Yau (2000), Watanabe (2001), and Pati (2008) for daily data, and finally Wang (2002) for weekly data.) 1 There are also studies that indicate that lagged volume is related to volatility as well.…”
Section: Review Of Literaturementioning
confidence: 99%
“…Many studies have analyzed the positions of traders in commodity futures markets (Chatrath et al, 1997;Roon et al, 2000;Wang, 2002;Weiner, 2002;Wang, 2003;Klitgaard and Weir, 2004;Sanders et al, 2004;Moulton, 2005;Till, 2009;Yung and Liu, 2009;Irwin and Sanders, 2010;Sanders and Irwin, 2010;Sanders and Irwin, 2011;Stoll and Whaley, 2011;Tokic, 2011). These studies usually test for the relationships between the traders' positions and the price/volatility of the underlying commodity futures contracts.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%