2011
DOI: 10.1007/s11698-011-0061-8
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The effect of investment in children’s education on fertility in 1816 Prussia

Abstract: The interaction between investment in children's education and parental fertility is crucial in recent theories of the transition from Malthusian stagnation to modern economic growth. This paper contributes to the literature on the child quantity-quality trade-off with new county-level evidence for Prussia in 1816, several decades before the demographic transition. We find a significant negative causal effect of education on fertility, which is robust to accounting for spatial autocorrelation. The causal effec… Show more

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Cited by 61 publications
(36 citation statements)
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References 32 publications
(27 reference statements)
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“…Before the Industrial Revolution, all societies were characterized by a very long period of stagnation in per capita income with high fertility rates. Since this fateful period, Western countries observed a complete reversal with high sustained income per capita and low fertility (Becker et al, 2012, Klemp, 2012. In parallel to economic and demographic transitions, we note profound changes in the structure of the population: formal education became accessible to a vast majority of the population while drastic changes occurred in gender relations.…”
Section: Dynamic Evolution Of Gendermentioning
confidence: 82%
“…Before the Industrial Revolution, all societies were characterized by a very long period of stagnation in per capita income with high fertility rates. Since this fateful period, Western countries observed a complete reversal with high sustained income per capita and low fertility (Becker et al, 2012, Klemp, 2012. In parallel to economic and demographic transitions, we note profound changes in the structure of the population: formal education became accessible to a vast majority of the population while drastic changes occurred in gender relations.…”
Section: Dynamic Evolution Of Gendermentioning
confidence: 82%
“…While other authors have imputed or extrapolated values if they were missing for some variables for some years (e.g. Becker et al 2010Becker et al , 2011a, the possibility to do so is limited if a variable is only available for t = 2 and n = 23. Hence, we resort to a solution used in previous studies (e.g.…”
Section: Econometric Considerationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Galor et al (2009) exploit exogenous source of variation in the concentration of land ownership across states in the US using data from the beginning of the twentieth century, they find that inequality in the distribution of land ownership indeed had an adverse effect on public investment in education. Becker et al (2010Becker et al ( , 2012 exploit variation in the concentration of land ownership across counties in Prussia and show that landownership was negatively related to educational enrolment in Prussia in 1816 and in 1849.…”
Section: Land Concentration: a Hurdle For Human Capital Formationmentioning
confidence: 99%