2009
DOI: 10.1080/19338240903352776
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The Direct Impact of Climate Change on Regional Labor Productivity

Abstract: Global climate change will increase outdoor and indoor heat loads, and may impair health and productivity for millions of working people. This study applies physiological evidence about effects of heat, climate guidelines for safe work environments, climate modeling, and global distributions of working populations to estimate the impact of 2 climate scenarios on future labor productivity. In most regions, climate change will decrease labor productivity, under the simple assumption of no specific adaptation. By… Show more

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Cited by 336 publications
(264 citation statements)
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“…(Note that the limits of the 0-3% GDP range 7 do not coincide with the limits of the 1.9-3°C range; most estimates in the Tol (2009Tol ( , 2014 analysis are 8 for either 2.5 or 3.0°C, and these span the range.). Many estimates depend on a large number of 9 disputable assumptions (see section 6.4 below).…”
Section: Economic Damages Between 0 and 3°c Of Warming Above Pre-indumentioning
confidence: 99%
“…(Note that the limits of the 0-3% GDP range 7 do not coincide with the limits of the 1.9-3°C range; most estimates in the Tol (2009Tol ( , 2014 analysis are 8 for either 2.5 or 3.0°C, and these span the range.). Many estimates depend on a large number of 9 disputable assumptions (see section 6.4 below).…”
Section: Economic Damages Between 0 and 3°c Of Warming Above Pre-indumentioning
confidence: 99%
“…While fatalities appear associated with warm nights (13), hot days alter the lifestyles and work productivity of those living at low latitudes (14). Both impacts will clearly worsen in warmer climates (15,16), but most believe humans will simply adapt, reasoning that humans already tolerate a very wide range of climates today.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…While empirical heat indices such as "wet bulb globe temperature" (WBGT) are typically used to quantify heat stress, tolerance of a given index value varies significantly according to clothing, activity, and acclimatization (14). We consider T W instead because, unlike other indices, it establishes a clear thermodynamic limit on heat transfer that cannot be overcome by such adaptations.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Finally, climate change impacts on job performance in Europe are derived from Kovats and Lloyd (2011), who assess the change in working conditions due to heat stress produced by the increase in temperature, and their effects on labour productivity. By linking climate data, a combined measure of heat and humidity (the "Wet Bulbe Globe Temperature"), and effects on the human body (Kjellstrom et al, 2009), they are able to estimate the expected decrease in labour productivity for four European macro-regions (Western, Eastern, Northern and Southern). The authors also consider sectoral impacts by taking into account future changes in labour force distribution across sectors.…”
Section: Market Damagesmentioning
confidence: 99%