2011
DOI: 10.3386/w17432
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The Democratic Transition

Abstract: Over the last two centuries, many countries experienced regime transitions toward democracy. We document this democratic transition over a long time horizon. We use historical time series of income, education and democracy levels from 1870 to 2000 to explore the economic factors associated with rising levels of democracy. We find that primary schooling, and to a weaker extent per capita income levels, are strong determinants of the quality of political institutions. We find little evidence of causality running… Show more

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Cited by 26 publications
(21 citation statements)
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References 29 publications
(43 reference statements)
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“…The more interesting issue especially for policy is the relationship between political dynasties and socio-4 economic outcomes. Studies that focused on the link between democracy and economic growth have still not settled the direction of causation (e.g., Burkhart 1997;Doucouliagos and Ulubasoglu 2008;Rodrik 2007;Lee 2005;Morrisson and Murtin 2009;Murtin and Wacziarg 2011;Plümper and Martin 2003) need to be differentiated from those that examine political dynasties within democratic regimes more specifically. With the possible exception Dal Bo et al (2009), Rossi (2009), andAsako et al (2010), and a few path breaking studies in the Philippines (e.g.…”
Section: Why Study Political Dynasties?mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The more interesting issue especially for policy is the relationship between political dynasties and socio-4 economic outcomes. Studies that focused on the link between democracy and economic growth have still not settled the direction of causation (e.g., Burkhart 1997;Doucouliagos and Ulubasoglu 2008;Rodrik 2007;Lee 2005;Morrisson and Murtin 2009;Murtin and Wacziarg 2011;Plümper and Martin 2003) need to be differentiated from those that examine political dynasties within democratic regimes more specifically. With the possible exception Dal Bo et al (2009), Rossi (2009), andAsako et al (2010), and a few path breaking studies in the Philippines (e.g.…”
Section: Why Study Political Dynasties?mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Differently, studies that contrast the level of democracy to different indices of economic liberalization (as in Giuliano et al 2010), or by using instrumental variables techniques (as in Eichengreen and Leblang, 2008) are more supportive of a positive role played by democracy. See also the recent contributions of Murtin and Wacziarg (2011) and Grosjean and Senik (2011). 2 A few empirical studies have investigated the effect of constitutions on agricultural policy, focusing especially on democracy.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Recall that the literature on education and democracy is inconclusive: while Acemoglu et al (2005b) found that education has no explanatory power for democracy, Bobba andCoviello (2007), CastelloCliment (2008) and Murtin and Wacziarg (2014) found a positive and significant effect. Our results suggest that the effect might be there but does not prove to be highly robust to specification choices and instrumentation strategies.…”
Section: Panel Analysis With Sys-gmmmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We consider two sets of external instruments which have been commonly used in the migration literature, one based on a "zero-stage" pseudo-gravity model, and one exploiting climatic factors. Then, following Castello-Climent (2008), Bobba and Coviello (2007), and Murtin and Wacziarg (2014), we will compare our results with those obtained with the system-GMM estimator with internal instruments. The use of SYS-GMM enables us to better account for unobservable heterogeneity and persistence in the lagged dependent and other regressors.…”
Section: Identification Strategymentioning
confidence: 99%