The compositional effects of education and employment on Greek male and female fertility rates during 2000‒2014

Bagavos, Christos; Tragaki, Alexandra

doi:10.4054/demres.2017.36.47

Cited by 16 publications

(13 citation statements)

References 17 publications

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“…However, these findings have been mixed, as they have reported notable differences in fertility trends across countries, and among population sub-groups. There is, for example, evidence that a woman's age, educational level, employment and socio-economic status, and number of children are among the variables that influence her childbearing decisions (Bagavos & Tragaki, 2017;Cazzola et al, 2016;Currie & Schwandt, 2014). However, the results regarding the direction of the influence of these variables have been inconclusive.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Fertility variations in the recession context: the case of Greece

Tragaki

Bagavos

2019

Genus

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Research on the counter-or pro-cyclical nature of aggregate fertility over economic cycles has been inconclusive, as results vary significantly across regions and over time. This work examines the variations in Greek birth rates, and confirms that fertility rates in Greece have declined since 2010. Partly as a response to economic uncertainty, childbearing decisions have been revised downward, although not uniformly across population groups. According to our analysis, almost 40,000 fewer babies were born in Greece between 2010 and 2015 than would have been born if pre-recession fertility rates had remained unchanged. Those missing births are mainly attributed to women under age 30, as well as to non-employed women of all ages. In terms of birth order, most of the missing births are second-or higher-order births. Even if a catch-up process occurs in the years to come, the foregone births are already visible as a cavity on the population pyramid.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Fertility variations in the recession context: the case of Greece

Tragaki

Bagavos

2019

Genus

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“…In this respect, with reference to Greece, Bagavos and Tragaki (2017) showed that the pre-crisis period was characterized by strong differences in fertility rates between employed and non-employed men, but these differences were unimportant among women. After the onset of the crisis, employed women with high education and non-employed women with low education had the highest fertility rates (Bagavos and Tragaki, 2017).…”

Section: The Great Recession and Fertilitymentioning

confidence: 98%

“…Moreover, it is especially during economic recessions that women who are unemployed, inactive, and minimally educated might find parenthood more attractive than facing uncertainty in the labour market (Sobotka et al 2011). In this respect, with reference to Greece, Bagavos and Tragaki (2017) showed that the pre-crisis period was characterized by strong differences in fertility rates between employed and non-employed men, but these differences were unimportant among women. After the onset of the crisis, employed women with high education and non-employed women with low education had the highest fertility rates (Bagavos and Tragaki, 2017).…”

Section: The Great Recession and Fertilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Transition to first birth during the Great Recession: the case of Greece

Dantis

Rizzi

2020

Genus

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In this study, we examine the effects of the economic uncertainty of partners on the transition to first birth in Greece before and after the onset of the recent economic crisis. After selecting a sample of childless couples, we applied a random effects model to EU-SILC data for the period 2005-2013. Few studies have focused on the association between economic uncertainty and fertility in Greece considering characteristics of both partners. Even fewer studies have examined panel data in the context of the recent crisis. Our findings show that Greek couples in which both partners are employed, have a high income, or are highly educated are in a more favourable position to have a first child. During the Greek Great Recession, corresponding in our study to the period 2010-2013, the odds of having a first child decreased to half the odds in the 2005-2009 period. The recession period also modified the effect of couples' characteristics on first childbearing. During the economic crisis, male breadwinner couples were particularly penalized in their transition to have a first child. Surprisingly, couples with at least one temporary worker, usually the woman, were encouraged to have their first child. Implications in terms of gender and social inequality are discussed in the concluding section, and selection processes at play are also discussed.

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“…To deal with this problem, we use a mixed standardization and decomposition approach. This approach, which is based on previous studies (Bagavos, Verropoulou, and Tsimbos 2018;Bagavos and Tragaki 2017;Gabrielli, Paterno, and Strozza 2007;Giannantoni and Strozza 2015), allows us to assess how shifts in fertility and population by migration status affect the trends over time in the overall TFR and in the total number of births. It is an 'all other things remaining equal' approach, which, in line with common forms of standardization analysis, quantifies an expected change in the overall level of TFR or in the total number of births.…”

Section: Decomposing the Contribution Of Foreign-born Or Noncitizens mentioning

confidence: 99%

On the multifaceted impact of migration on the fertility of receiving countries: Methodological insights and contemporary evidence for Europe, the United States, and Australia

Bagavos¹

2019

DemRes

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BACKGROUND Within the context of increasing migration flows and persisting low fertility rates in more developed areas, focus has been placed on the impact of migration on the fertility of receiving countries. OBJECTIVE The paper examines the effect of migration on the fertility of selected European countries, the United States, and Australia for the 2009-2015 period. METHODS We provide methodological insights and evidence derived from comparisons of estimates of age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) and total fertility rates (TFRs) of native-born or foreign-born women, or female citizens or noncitizens. RESULTS The results show that although the United States and Australia are seen as model countries of migration, the contribution of migrants to the levels and trends in the TFR and in the total number of births in these countries seems to be less significant than in some European countries. Our results also show that differences in the overall TFRs of the United States and selected European countries are driven more by the differences in the TFRs of native-born women than by the net effect of migration. CONCLUSIONS Our study suggests that the impact of migration on fertility is a multifaceted issue, going far beyond the commonly used net effect of migration on increases in a country's TFR.

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The compositional effects of education and employment on Greek male and female fertility rates during 2000‒2014

Cited by 16 publications

References 17 publications

Fertility variations in the recession context: the case of Greece

Fertility variations in the recession context: the case of Greece

Transition to first birth during the Great Recession: the case of Greece

On the multifaceted impact of migration on the fertility of receiving countries: Methodological insights and contemporary evidence for Europe, the United States, and Australia

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