The cognitive psychology of systems thinking

Doyle, James R.

doi:10.1002/(sici)1099-1727(199723)13:3<253::aid-sdr129>3.0.co;2-h

Cited by 77 publications

(51 citation statements)

References 37 publications

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“…Furthermore, while attitudes cannot predict behaviors, conversely behavior cannot predict attitudes. (Abelson, 1972;Doyle, 1997;McGuire, 1985;Wicker, 1969). The lack of inference relationship between attitudes and behavior has also been researched in a broader context of cognitive psychology, which showed existence of complex relationships between these factors (Doyle, 1997).…”

Section: Learningmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…(Abelson, 1972;Doyle, 1997;McGuire, 1985;Wicker, 1969). The lack of inference relationship between attitudes and behavior has also been researched in a broader context of cognitive psychology, which showed existence of complex relationships between these factors (Doyle, 1997). A meta-analysis of 797 studies of psychological literature found that situational constraints, such as perceived social pressure and perceived difficulty, weaken the relationship between attitudes and behaviors (Wallace et al, 2005).…”

Section: Learningmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Evidence is emerging that complex cognitive structures, such as mental models of systems, are not necessarily related to behavior in ways that can be predicted a priori (Broadbent, 1977;Doyle, 1997;Norman, 1983). As such, multidisciplinary learning alone is an important parameter, but not sufficient to directly influence behavior.…”

Section: Learningmentioning

confidence: 99%

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ESD Pedagogy: A Guide for the Perplexed

Eilam

Trop

2010

The Journal of Environmental Education

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ABSTRACT:The present article addresses issues regarding implementation of Education for Sustainable Development (ESD) within the formal education systems. In particular, it aims at identifying the basic essential components of ESD pedagogy. We present a theoretical pedagogical framework based on accumulating theory and experience in the field. The framework aspires to encompass the majority of prevailing pedagogies within a simple set of four basic principles. It will be argued that the four principle pedagogies are basic and indispensable prerequisites for achieving the goals of ESD. As such, lack of one suffices to undermine the ESD's pedagogical construct.

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Section: Learningmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Learningmentioning

confidence: 99%

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ESD Pedagogy: A Guide for the Perplexed

Eilam

Trop

2010

The Journal of Environmental Education

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“…Despite this previous work and the widespread use of systems thinking (e.g., [27,28]), there has been a more recent call for empirical work to analyze the relationship between systems thinking and mental models or decision-making processes [29]. The current study addresses this empirical research gap by examining a specific structured method of thinking as an iterative approach to learning about and dealing with a complex task.…”

Section: Open Accessmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Effect of a Structured Method on Mental Model Accuracy and Performance in a Complex Task

Bußwolder

2015

Systems

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Abstract:In comparison to their performance with normative standards or even simple heuristics, humans do not perform well in complex decision-making. The application of systems thinking to help people to understand and handle interdependent and complex systems is proposed as a means of improving this poor performance. The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of a generic systems thinking method, i.e., a structured method, on performance. A laboratory experiment was conducted using a dynamic and complex simulation task. The results demonstrated that subjects provided with a structured method achieved a higher performance. In addition, mental model accuracy had a significant effect on performance, as already shown by several previous studies. The results of our study provide a way of teaching subjects how to improve their performance when coping with complex systems in general. This has implications for education in the fields of complex systems and system dynamics.

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“…Such an integrated and holistic perspective provides the ability to appreciate that doing one thing does not essentially keep all other aspects of the system intact and that everything is linked to everything else. Different schools of thought in systems thinking seem to agree that a systems and integrated view of the world, though rare, is desirable (Doyle, 1997;Lane, 1994;Richardson, 1996). Just one decision or intervention may provoke reaction from others, the Counterintuitive Behavior of the social systems (Forrester, 1971;Daellenbach and McNickle, 2012).…”

Section: Systems Perspectivementioning

confidence: 99%

Implications of limited investor attention to customer–supplier information transfers

Zhu

2014

The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance

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We examine the (dis)incentive effects created by the respective tax systems to invest in human capital in Atlantic Canada and compare this to a select group of provinces from the rest of Canada. While findings show a steady decline in effective tax rates through the years, thereby creating an incentive effect to invest in post-secondary education, disproportionately higher rate gap differentials in the Atlantic Provinces, on average, combined with negative comparative statics reveal a somewhat different undertone. The counterproductive nature of the competing policies effectively nullifies any status quo argument for education or tax policy in the Atlantic Provinces, when compared to their brethren. The graduate retention rebate provides some solace to the narrative in helping to alleviate early tax burdens and equalize returns, but is difficult to claim effectiveness in assuaging any monetary windfall associated with migration. IntroductionThe goal of this paper is to assess the (dis)incentive effects created by the provincial tax systems for human capital investment in Atlantic Canada. Our test subjects are university graduates, but we note that such methodology could be applied to any level or subset of the population that possess human capital deemed scarce and productive, in the economic sense. We do not purport to suggest that university graduates are more important in the economic well being of an economy than, say, skilled trades or college graduates, e.g., and encourage one to think of our case as a subset of a larger sample of possibilities. Our presumption, like our goal, is simple; namely, an empirical investigation of incentivizing the tax system in Atlantic Canada remains an unexplored possibility for strategic policy implementation to retain and recruit scarce resources in the market for human capital. We use the impact on effective tax rates (ETRs) and rates of return as our policy litmus test and explore by empirical and simulation analysis the unilateral exploitation of a select number of provincial tax systems. Some may claim that this work puts the * Collins would like to acknowledge the support of the CRS-SSHRC institutional research grant at St. Francis Xavier University in helping to complete this research.proverbial cart before the horse, as it were, since to attract workers a province needs the requisite infrastructure and such may not be currently present at the appropriate level(s) to warrant an increase in the supply of skilled labour. To that end, we suggest that a more accurate assessment (or, at least, a plausible alternative) might be akin to a "chicken or the egg" argument; namely, which comes first? We leave this debate up to the interested reader for now, and focus on establishing the empirics of the analysis in an effort to add the requisite fodder for a more informed discussion.While previous research has examined the disincentive effects created by the tax system for, e.g., university and college graduates (see, for instance, Burbidge et al., 2012), the current study is diff...

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The cognitive psychology of systems thinking

Cited by 77 publications

References 37 publications

ESD Pedagogy: A Guide for the Perplexed

ESD Pedagogy: A Guide for the Perplexed

The Effect of a Structured Method on Mental Model Accuracy and Performance in a Complex Task

Implications of limited investor attention to customer–supplier information transfers

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