The climatic wind energy potential — present and future: GIS-analysis in the region of Freiburg im Breisgau based on observed data and Regional Climate Models

Richert, Clemens N.; Matzarakis, Andreas

doi:10.2478/s13533-012-0174-z

Cited by 2 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 7 publications

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“…Since both temperature and precipitation bias can lessen wind erosion potential, the estimations of future wind erosion sensitivity possibly underestimate the potential increase and overestimate the potential decrease. Wind parameter values are hardly quantifiable in climate models, however, it is possible to derive development trends from the future simulations [63].…”

Section: Climate Sensitivity Based On Regional (Climate Model) Simulamentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessment of future scenarios for wind erosion sensitivity changes based on ALADIN and REMO regional climate model simulation data

et al. 2016

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Abstract:The changes in rate and pattern of wind erosion sensitivity due to climate change were investigated for 2021-2050 and 2071-2100 compared to the reference period in Hungary. The sensitivities of the main influencing factors (soil texture, vegetation cover and climate factor) were evaluated by fuzzy method and a combined wind erosion sensitivity map was compiled. The climate factor, as the driving factor of the changes, was assessed based on observed data for the reference period, while REMO and ALADIN regional climate model simulation data for the future periods. The changes in wind erosion sensitivity were evaluated on potentially affected agricultural land use types, and hot spot areas were allocated. Based on the results, 5-6% of the total agricultural areas were high sensitive areas in the reference period. In the 21st century slight or moderate changes of wind erosion sensitivity can be expected, and mostly 'pastures', 'complex cultivation patterns', and 'land principally occupied by agriculture with significant areas of natural vegetation' are affected. The applied combination of multi-indicator approach and fuzzy analysis provides novelty in the field of land sensitivity assessment. The method is suitable for regional scale analysis of wind erosion sensitivity changes and supports regional planning by allocating priority areas where changes in agro-technics or land use have to be considered.

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Section: Climate Sensitivity Based On Regional (Climate Model) Simulamentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessment of future scenarios for wind erosion sensitivity changes based on ALADIN and REMO regional climate model simulation data

et al. 2016

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Assessment of climate change impacts on wind resource characteristics and wind energy potential in Greece

Katopodis

Vlachogiannis

Politi

et al. 2019

Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy

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Wind technology is projected to play a key role in mitigating climate change effects and contributing to the reduction of CO2 emissions, but its sustainability critically depends on current and future climate conditions. In this study, the climate change impacts on wind resources and wind energy potential in Greece are assessed, yielding a wealth of information that could be used by stakeholders. A detailed evaluation of future wind characteristics over Greece is carried out using EURO-CORDEX RCA4 model data with a horizontal resolution of ∼12 km, taking into consideration future RCP scenarios for the short term decadal climatology of 2040, which is the expected end-life of installed wind turbines. The RCA4 model demonstrated accurate performance when compared to actual observational data from the HNMS network, thus allowing higher confidence in assessments of future periods. Future projections revealed changes in the mean wind speed of the order of ±5% that did not vary significantly for the different RCP scenarios, although on a monthly basis that variability could reach ±20%. Decadal changes in the mean wind potential were of the order of ±15% for the two RCPs (2.6 and 8.5). Wind gusts exceeding 52 m/s, linked to the wind turbine structural integrity and robust performance, appeared more frequently in RCP 8.5 by about 2–4 times per decade, affecting mostly the South Ionian Sea. The findings also indicate a tendency for calming of the “Etesians” winds over the Aegean Sea in future summers.

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The climatic wind energy potential — present and future: GIS-analysis in the region of Freiburg im Breisgau based on observed data and Regional Climate Models

Cited by 2 publications

References 7 publications

Assessment of future scenarios for wind erosion sensitivity changes based on ALADIN and REMO regional climate model simulation data

Assessment of future scenarios for wind erosion sensitivity changes based on ALADIN and REMO regional climate model simulation data

Assessment of climate change impacts on wind resource characteristics and wind energy potential in Greece

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