The ‘Clean Break’ Revisited: Is US Population Again Deconcentrating?

Long, Larry; Nucci, Alfred

doi:10.1068/a291355

Cited by 52 publications

(39 citation statements)

References 18 publications

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“…Our findings are consistent with prior research suggesting that a selective deconcentration of the population is underway (Frey & Johnson 1998;Long & Nucci 1997;Wardwell 1977). Overall, the data suggest a tendency toward deconcentration, although it is somewhat uneven.…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 94%

“…Metropolitan growth was widespread throughout the period, whereas growth patterns in rural (nonmetropolitan) areas were highly variable. Research suggests that a selective deconcentration of the U.S. population was underway in the 1990s, continuing a trend first evident during the nonmetropolitan turnaround of the 1970s (Frey & Johnson 1998;Long & Nucci 1997). Findings from other developed nations indicate deconcentration (counterurbanization) is underway there as well (Champion 1998).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 92%

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Population Trends in Metropolitan and Nonmetropolitan America: Selective Deconcentration and the Rural Rebound

Johnson

Nucci

Long

2005

Popul Res Policy Rev

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This study uses revised annual population estimates that incorporate adjustments from the 2000 Census to backcast demographic change for U.S. counties during the 1990s. These data are supplemented with new post-censal population estimates for 2001-2003. We use these data to examine demographic trends in the late 1990s and first years of the new century. Our findings are consistent with a model suggesting that a selective deconcentration of the U.S. population is underway. Our findings also confirm the occurrence of the rural rebound in the first half of the 1990s and a waning of this rebound in the late 1990s. Post-censal data also suggest a modest upturn in nonmetropolitan population growth rates in 2001-2003.

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Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 94%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 92%

Population Trends in Metropolitan and Nonmetropolitan America: Selective Deconcentration and the Rural Rebound

Johnson

Nucci

Long

2005

Popul Res Policy Rev

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“…Within the United States, the post-1970s trends in terms of metropolitan versus nonmetropolitan growth rates have oscillated, with, for instance, the largest metropolitan areas seeming to assert dominance once again in the 1980s, followed by a revival of nonmetropolitan growth rates in the early 1990s (12) and an intensification of growth within smaller, especially amenityfavored ''micropolitan'' areas by the late 1990s (13,14).…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Migration up and down the urban hierarchy and across the life course

Plane

Henrie

Perry

2005

Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A.

184

150

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In this article, we begin by reviewing the concept of step migration that originated in E. G. Ravenstein's seminal papers ''The Laws of Migration'' (1885, 1889). As a result of the forces of the Industrial Revolution underway in 19th century Great Britain, migrants moved from farms to villages, from villages to towns, from towns to county seats, and thence to large cities. Throughout much of the industrialization era in the United States, net population movements similarly were upward within the urban hierarchy, and step migration today remains widespread throughout much of the still developing world. Our investigations of recent data and trends, however, suggest that the latest U.S. migration-pattern regime is a strongly contrasting one. Many of the major movements in the system of internal (or domestic) migration are flows down the urban hierarchy, although we note highly differentiated patterns for persons and households at specific stages of the life course. We make use of the newly defined metropolitan and micropolitan Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) and a seven-level size typology to tabulate origin-destination-specific migration flow data from both Census 2000 and IRS tax-return administrative records for the period 1995-2000. We discuss the causes for net movements being either upward or downward in the national urban hierarchy, including the effects of spatially focused immigration, and movement preferences at various ages, including migration in young adulthood associated with entering and leaving college and the military, as well as moves characteristic of the stages of family formation, childrearing, and retirement.population trends ͉ metropolitan areas ͉ micropolitan areas

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“…Criticism of this ruralist generalization of all non-metropolitan areas became more evident in the 1980s (Hall et al, 1980) considerably damaging the credibility of the counterurban paradigm. Since the 1990s, some very decisive analyses (Long et al, 1997;Johnson et al, 2005: Wang, 2006 began to show that a clear conclusion can be drawn. In the case of North America, most population growth in the second half of the 20th century focuses on "new metropolitan" counties; in other words, counties that went from being non-metropolitan in the 1970s to being metropolitan in a later census 4 .…”

Section: Hypothesesmentioning

confidence: 99%