The application of reliability models in traffic accident frequency analysis

Jovanović, Dragan; Bačkalić, Todor; Basic, Svetlana

doi:10.1016/j.ssci.2011.04.008

Cited by 19 publications

(18 citation statements)

References 8 publications

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“…The density function of the distribution of the time between two accidents f(t) represents a measure of the speed of the accident's occurrence [8,20]. The function of accident distribution density for the i-th section is:…”

Section: Figure 3 Number Of Road Accidents On Each Year By Day Of Weekmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Time-Space Approach in the Analysis of Traffic Safety on Rural Road

Bačkalić

Matović

Bašić

2017

Romanian Journal of Transport Infrastructure

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Analysis of the traffic safety factors in some region (road, section of road, road's kilometer) is an important task in the field of traffic safety. It is necessary to constantly monitor, analyze, compare traffic safety situation in order to develop and improve measures for increasing the level of traffic safety. The first part of each analysis is finding of positions of traffic accidents and its casualties, in other words it is necessary to find its coordinates in the space-time coordinate system. This paper shows results of the descriptive statistical analysis of traffic accidents frequency on the rural road for the period 2005-2011. It will be point out advantages and disadvantages of this approach and also it will be suggested a new individual approach for determinate the mean time between consecutive traffic accidents.

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Section: Figure 3 Number Of Road Accidents On Each Year By Day Of Weekmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…One of them is collective, which analyze crash frequency over a long period of time [3,4,5], and another is individual, which determines estimation of real time crash likelihood [6,7,8,20].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Time-Space Approach in the Analysis of Traffic Safety on Rural Road

Bačkalić

Matović

Bašić

2017

Romanian Journal of Transport Infrastructure

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“…Extant traffic incident models tend to focus on specific traffic incident attributes rather than developing a holistic incident model [2][3][4] . This modern aversion to holistic models derives from the work of Ceder and Livneh [5] who criticize attempts to use accidentsper-vehicle-kilometer as the sole analytical tool to assess the effectiveness of road improvements.…”

Section: Motivationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Integrating a Simple Traffic Incident Model for Rapid Evacuation Analysis

Collins¹,

Robinson²,

Foytik³

et al. 2016

IJT

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“…The studies of the first category generally start from a statistical assumption that the incident duration follows a certain statistical distribution. Typical duration distribution alternatives include lognormal (Golob et al, 1987;Garib et al, 1997;Chung and Yoon, 2012;Tavassoli Hojati et al, 2013), Weibull (Nam and Mannering, 2000;Tavassoli Hojati et al, 2013), log-logistic (Nam and Mannering, 2000;Stathopoulos and Karlaftis, 2002;Chung, 2010) and exponential (Jovanovic et al, 2011;Xie et al, 2014a). To complement the incident duration model, including random parameter terms are suggested to account for potential unobserved heterogeneity among sites (Nam and Mannering 2000;Tavassoli Hojati et al, 2013) and survival analysis approaches are proposed for data with censoring (Chung and Yoon 2012;Xie et al, 2014a).…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%