2017
DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2017.1289656
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Testing overconfidence bias in Pakistani stock market

Abstract: Excessive trading phenomenon is contrary to the concept of traditional finance that is based on the rational expectation theorem and efficient market hypothesis. Therefore, this study is aimed at exploring the existence of overconfidence behavior in the stock market. The market-wide panel VAR model is used to investigate the lead-lag relationship between stock returns and turnover. Our results suggest that investors are overconfident in Pakistani stock market because turnover depends directly upon stock return… Show more

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Cited by 17 publications
(11 citation statements)
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References 15 publications
(14 reference statements)
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“…According to the results quantile regression, the BTA variable is not significant at all which can be justified for our measure for the BTA variable that may not be appropriate or the form of overconfidence or better than average factor is really not the determinant impacting the risk-taking ability of investors. This result is in line with conclusion by Zia et al (2017) that the relation between loss realization and overconfidence bias due to excessive trading in financial market.…”
Section: Results Of Three Levels Of Risk-takingsupporting
confidence: 93%
“…According to the results quantile regression, the BTA variable is not significant at all which can be justified for our measure for the BTA variable that may not be appropriate or the form of overconfidence or better than average factor is really not the determinant impacting the risk-taking ability of investors. This result is in line with conclusion by Zia et al (2017) that the relation between loss realization and overconfidence bias due to excessive trading in financial market.…”
Section: Results Of Three Levels Of Risk-takingsupporting
confidence: 93%
“…Even financial literate investors also do not thinking about their portfolio diversification, our results strongly support the findings of Chu et al (2016) who scrutinized that financial literate investor don't tend to invest in portfolio diversification, however overconfidence significantly diversify their portfolio. In addition, our study supports the findings of Zia, Ilyas Sindhu, and Haider Hashmi (2017) that overconfidence bias has significant influence on investor trading in Pakistan stock market. However, as the size of their portfolio increases, they tend to diversify their portfolio.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 80%
“…Some of them even did not measure overconfidence and instead used excessive investment or trading as a proxy for overconfidence (e.g. Chuang and Lee, 2006; Hwang et al , 2014; Khajavi; Dehghani, 2016; Liu et al , 2016; Zia et al , 2017; Gupta et al , 2018). Moreover, the overconfidence started to be linked and sometimes confused with other similar concepts, like optimism or illusion of control (e.g.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%